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Sunderland W vs Leicester W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

WSL 2 Eppleton Colliery Welfare Ground, Sunderland
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Kitching K.
24' Event
Ale A.
39'
Pelgander E.

AI Match Summary

The WSL 2 game between Sunderland W and Leicester W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sunderland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Sunderland W
15%
Draws
20%
Leicester W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Sunderland W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on Sunderland W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sunderland W Clean Sheet 20%
Leicester W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunderland W Leicester W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 4
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.41 0.55
Goals Conceded 1.55 2.28
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 WSL 2
Sunderland W vs Leicester W
3:1
Jan 11, 2023 Women's League Cup
Sunderland W vs Leicester W
0:5
May 10, 2009 Women's National League North
Leicester W vs Sunderland W
1:4
Apr 12, 2009 Women's National League North
Sunderland W vs Leicester W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunderland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kitching K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hughes E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Leicester W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ale A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunderland W 85 / 100
Leicester W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunderland W Leicester W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leicester W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Sunderland W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sunderland W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sunderland W VS Leicester W
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sunderland W

(Home)
04 Oct
Sunderland W
3 : 1
Leicester W
27 Sept
Watford W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
23 Sept
Liverpool W
4 : 2
Sunderland W
20 Sept
Sunderland W
0 : 0
Southampton FC W
13 Sept
Burnley W
1 : 2
Sunderland W
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Leicester W

(Away)
04 Oct
Sunderland W
3 : 1
Leicester W
27 Sept
Newcastle Utd W
4 : 0
Leicester W
23 Sept
Leicester W
0 : 2
London City Lionesses W
20 Sept
Leicester W
0 : 1
Ipswich W
13 Sept
Leicester W
4 : 2
Durham W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Newcastle Utd W 5 5 0 0 14:1 15
2 Sunderland W 5 4 1 0 11:4 13
3 Ipswich W 5 3 2 0 7:3 11
4 Nottingham W 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Wolverhampton W 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
6 Bristol City W 5 2 1 2 8:7 7
7 Southampton FC W 5 1 3 1 5:4 6
8 Leicester W 5 2 0 3 6:10 6
9 Sheffield Utd W 5 1 0 4 7:11 3
10 Watford W 5 0 3 2 6:11 3
11 Burnley W 5 0 2 3 1:7 2
12 Durham W 5 0 0 5 5:16 0
Promotion - WSL 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - WSL (Relegation)