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Sundsvall vs Norrkoping Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Superettan NP3 Arena, Sundsvall
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Kebbeh S.
35' Event
Nyman C.
Assist: Sernelius N.
47' Event
Pantelidis A.
Assist: Finey Y.

AI Match Summary

Norrkoping in this Superettan matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Norrkoping.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Sundsvall
20%
Draws
52%
Norrkoping
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norrkoping

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sundsvall haven't matched Norrkoping's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Norrkoping a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Norrkoping have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 11%
Norrkoping Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundsvall Norrkoping
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 19
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 5
Goals Scored 0.87 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.97 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Norrkoping
1:3
Oct 2, 2022 Allsvenskan
Sundsvall vs Norrkoping
1:3
May 15, 2022 Allsvenskan
Norrkoping vs Sundsvall
5:1
Feb 20, 2021 Svenska Cupen
Norrkoping vs Sundsvall
2:0
Oct 5, 2019 Allsvenskan
Sundsvall vs Norrkoping
4:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundsvall Compare

Top Goalscorer Pantelidis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Norrkoping Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyman C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Neffati M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundsvall 10 / 100
Norrkoping 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundsvall Norrkoping

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Norrkoping Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.80 goals as a typical output.

Sundsvall scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Norrkoping has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: Sundsvall remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sundsvall VS Norrkoping
0.38 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundsvall

(Home)
03 Oct
Sandviken
1 : 0
Sundsvall
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
15 Sept
Landskrona
4 : 0
Sundsvall
10 Sept
Sundsvall
0 : 3
Orebro
05 Sept
Brage
0 : 1
Sundsvall
Page 1 of 6

Norrkoping

(Away)
19 Sept
Oster
1 : 3
Norrkoping
13 Sept
Norrkoping
0 : 0
Oddevold
10 Sept
Varberg
0 : 2
Norrkoping
04 Sept
Norrkoping
2 : 2
Ljungskile
29 Aug
Nordic United
1 : 3
Norrkoping
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 25 17 4 4 48:16 55
2 Falkenberg 25 13 6 6 46:33 45
3 Varberg 25 13 5 7 44:33 44
4 Ostersund 25 11 10 4 33:24 43
5 Landskrona 25 11 7 7 39:26 40
6 Sandviken 25 10 7 8 43:33 37
7 Oddevold 25 9 9 7 38:34 36
8 Oster 25 11 3 11 38:38 36
9 Nordic United 25 9 9 7 38:40 36
10 Helsingborg 25 8 6 11 36:45 30
11 Varnamo 25 8 5 12 33:45 29
12 Ljungskile 25 6 7 12 31:38 25
13 Norrby 25 4 12 9 28:35 24
14 Orebro 25 5 9 11 27:39 24
15 Brage 25 5 8 12 39:48 23
16 Sundsvall 25 6 1 18 19:53 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)