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Sundsvall vs Varberg - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Superettan NP3 Arena, Sundsvall
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sundsvall host Varberg in the Superettan. This has Varberg written all over it on paper. Varberg have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Sundsvall have conceded 2.24 and scored 0.55. Past meetings favor Varberg slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 24, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.81 vs 1.56, favoring Varberg. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sundsvall
30%
Draws
52%
Varberg
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varberg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Sundsvall haven't matched Varberg's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Varberg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Sundsvall Clean Sheet 15%
Varberg Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sundsvall Varberg
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 5 15
Draws 1 7
Losses 23 6
Goals Scored 0.55 1.86
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Superettan
Varberg vs Sundsvall
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Varberg
2:3
Jul 20, 2025 Superettan
Varberg vs Sundsvall
0:2
Aug 16, 2024 Superettan
Varberg vs Sundsvall
3:0
Apr 27, 2024 Superettan
Sundsvall vs Varberg
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundsvall 10 / 100
Varberg 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sundsvall Varberg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varberg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Varberg conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Sundsvall's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sundsvall went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sundsvall VS Varberg
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sundsvall

(Home)
23 Oct
Oddevold
7 : 0
Sundsvall
18 Oct
Sundsvall
0 : 1
Varnamo
13 Oct
Norrkoping
4 : 0
Sundsvall
03 Oct
Sandviken
1 : 0
Sundsvall
20 Sept
Sundsvall
3 : 2
Ljungskile
Page 1 of 6

Varberg

(Away)
27 Oct
Landskrona
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Oct
Varberg
0 : 0
Helsingborg
10 Oct
Ostersund
1 : 1
Varberg
19 Sept
Varberg
3 : 2
Brage
14 Sept
Norrby
1 : 2
Varberg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norrkoping 28 19 5 4 58:18 62
2 Falkenberg 28 15 6 7 52:38 51
3 Ostersund 28 12 12 4 38:26 48
4 Varberg 28 13 8 7 46:35 47
5 Landskrona 28 12 8 8 46:33 44
6 Oddevold 28 11 9 8 48:37 42
7 Oster 28 13 3 12 46:45 42
8 Sandviken 28 11 8 9 46:36 41
9 Nordic United 28 10 9 9 41:47 39
10 Helsingborg 28 8 8 12 37:48 32
11 Varnamo 28 9 5 14 35:48 32
12 Ljungskile 28 7 9 12 35:40 30
13 Orebro 28 6 11 11 31:42 29
14 Norrby 28 5 12 11 31:41 27
15 Brage 28 6 8 14 45:55 26
16 Sundsvall 28 6 1 21 19:65 19
Promotion - Allsvenskan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)