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Sweden

Elitettan Women 2024 NP3 Arena

Alingsas W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sundsvall W play Alingsas W in the Elitettan Women 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sundsvall W averaged 0.9 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Alingsas W averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.11 conceded. In past meetings, Sundsvall W won 0, Alingsas W won 3, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 19, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.67 for Sundsvall W and 1.11 for Alingsas W. This points to a Alingsas W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Sundsvall W

27%

Draws

43%

Alingsas W

Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Alingsas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence

Sundsvall W picked up more points recently compared to Alingsas W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.67 vs 1.11 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 58%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%

Sundsvall W Clean Sheet 21%

Alingsas W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sundsvall W	Alingsas W
Matches Played	30	36
Wins	5	9
Draws	8	6
Losses	17	21
Goals Scored	0.9	1.33
Goals Conceded	2.03	2.11

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2024 Elitettan Women

Sundsvall W vs Alingsas W

Possession: 59% - 47% Cards: 1 - 4

1:1

Jun 8, 2024 Elitettan Women

Alingsas W vs Sundsvall W

Possession: 40% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

10:0

Oct 21, 2023 Elitettan Women

Sundsvall W vs Alingsas W

Possession: 58% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

0:0

May 6, 2023 Elitettan Women

Alingsas W vs Sundsvall W

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Sep 10, 2022 Elitettan Women

Alingsas W vs Sundsvall W

Possession: 45% - 55% Cards: 4 - 2

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sundsvall W Compare

Top Goalscorer Rohan C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Alingsas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jarl M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sundsvall W 31 / 100

Alingsas W 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sundsvall W Alingsas W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Alingsas W or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +36.5%

4.55

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.4%

1.92

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sundsvall W attacking → ← attacking Alingsas W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sundsvall W scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Alingsas W let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Sundsvall W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Alingsas W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 33

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Malmo FF W	26	21	2	3	70:23	65
2	Alingsas W	26	18	6	2	67:21	60
3	Umea W	26	16	3	7	56:34	51
4	IK Uppsala Fotboll W	26	15	1	10	48:31	46
5	Bollstanas W	26	13	4	9	46:35	43
6	Sunnana W	26	11	3	12	33:36	36
7	Mallbacken W	26	9	6	11	34:35	33
8	Jitex W	26	9	5	12	48:54	32
9	Eskilstuna United W	26	9	4	13	37:42	31
10	Gamla Upsala W	26	9	3	14	41:48	30
11	Orebro SK W	26	7	5	14	31:47	26
12	Lidkoping W	26	7	4	15	33:68	25
13	Sundsvall W	26	4	8	14	20:51	20
14	Kalmar W	26	5	4	17	25:64	19