Sport Picks
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Capalaba FC
Australia
Queensland Premier League Ballinger Park, Buderim 
Match Events
15'
15'
Nezval M.
54'
54'
Gordon M.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Queensland Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Sunshine Coast Wanderers have won more games recently than Capalaba FC.
- Model gives Sunshine Coast Wanderers a 90% chance of winning this.
- Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 20%
Capalaba FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | Capalaba FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 6 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 15 | 20 |
| Goals Scored | 2.75 | 0.63 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 3.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 3.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 20, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Capalaba FC vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0:5
Mar 14, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Capalaba FC
1:1
Jun 19, 2022 NPL Queensland
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Capalaba FC
2:1
Apr 16, 2022 NPL Queensland
Capalaba FC vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:1
Jun 27, 2021 NPL Queensland
Capalaba FC vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare
Top Goalscorer Nezval M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Capalaba FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Gordon M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sunshine Coast Wanderers 85 / 100
Capalaba FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Capalaba FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Capalaba FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.
Sunshine Coast Wanderers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Sunshine Coast Wanderers VS Capalaba FC
2.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 3.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
(Home) 18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
12 Jul
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 2 Brisbane Strikers
03 Jul
Caboolture
1 : 2 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
27 Jun
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0 Robina City
20 Jun
Capalaba FC
0 : 5 Sunshine Coast Wanderers
Page 1 of 6
12 Jul
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 2 Brisbane Strikers
27 Jun
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0 : 0 Robina City
06 Jun
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1 : 0 North Star
03 Jun
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
8 : 0 St. George Willawong
19 Apr
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
5 : 2 Logan Lightning
Page 1 of 3
Capalaba FC
(Away) 19 Jul
Capalaba FC
3 : 0 Holland Park Hawks
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1 Capalaba FC
04 Jul
Capalaba FC
0 : 2 St. George Willawong
27 Jun
Broadbeach Utd.
3 : 1 Capalaba FC
23 Jun
Robina City
5 : 1 Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Redlands
1 : 1 Capalaba FC
27 Jun
Broadbeach Utd.
3 : 1 Capalaba FC
23 Jun
Robina City
5 : 1 Capalaba FC
05 Jun
Logan Lightning
1 : 0 Capalaba FC
30 May
Caboolture
2 : 1 Capalaba FC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brisbane Strikers | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 46:15 | 48 |
| 2 | Broadbeach Utd. | 19 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 48:18 | 46 |
| 3 | Ipswich | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 32:29 | 31 |
| 4 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 38:26 | 30 |
| 5 | Robina City | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 31:21 | 29 |
| 6 | Caboolture | 19 | 8 | 3 | 8 | 35:32 | 27 |
| 7 | Redlands | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 36:33 | 26 |
| 8 | Logan Lightning | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 35:37 | 24 |
| 9 | Holland Park Hawks | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 29:36 | 24 |
| 10 | St. George Willawong | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 11:41 | 13 |
| 11 | North Star | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18:40 | 12 |
| 12 | Capalaba FC | 19 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 20:51 | 11 |
Promotion - Queensland Premier League (Play Offs)
