Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Redlands

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League Ballinger Park
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Christie H.
28' Event
Kerry O.

AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League game between Sunshine Coast Wanderers and Redlands finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
39%
Draws
31%
Redlands
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Redlands come out ahead of Sunshine Coast Wanderers on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Clean Sheet 13%
Redlands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sunshine Coast Wanderers Redlands
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 2.75 2.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Redlands vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2:4
Feb 21, 2026 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Redlands
1:1
Jun 16, 2024 NPL Queensland
Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Redlands
2:2
Mar 16, 2024 NPL Queensland
Redlands vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2:2
Jul 29, 2023 NPL Queensland
Redlands vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sunshine Coast Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerry O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Redlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Christie H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 30 / 100
Redlands 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sunshine Coast Wanderers Redlands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Redlands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: Sunshine Coast Wanderers remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sunshine Coast Wanderers VS Redlands
2.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brisbane Strikers19153146:1548
2Broadbeach Utd.19144148:1846
3Ipswich1994632:2931
4Sunshine Coast Wanderers1986538:2630
5Robina City1985631:2129
6Caboolture1983835:3227
7Redlands1975736:3326
8Logan Lightning1973935:3724
9Holland Park Hawks1973929:3624
10St. George Willawong19411411:4113
11North Star19331318:4012
12Capalaba FC19321420:5111