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Super Nova 2 vs FK Metta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga Sporta centrs Krasts, Riga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Super Nova 2 host FK Metta in the 1. Liga. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Super Nova 2 at 1.33 goals for, 1.52 against; FK Metta at 4.07 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor FK Metta slightly — 0-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 7:3. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 3.38, favoring FK Metta. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Super Nova 2
30%
Draws
61%
FK Metta
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FK Metta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • FK Metta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on FK Metta taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 10%
FK Metta Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova 2 FK Metta
Matches Played 21 28
Wins 6 22
Draws 7 3
Losses 8 3
Goals Scored 1.33 4.07
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 1. Liga
FK Metta vs Super Nova 2
7:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 2 10 / 100
FK Metta 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova 2 FK Metta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Metta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova 2 scored in 81% of their last 21 games.

Historical meetings average 10.00 goals per match.

FK Metta has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Super Nova 2 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova 2 VS FK Metta
1 Goals Scored 5.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova 2

(Home)
19 Sept
Super Nova 2
0 : 2
FK Smiltene
11 Sept
Rezekne
2 : 2
Super Nova 2
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
Page 1 of 5

FK Metta

(Away)
19 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 3
FK Metta
12 Sept
FK Metta
7 : 0
JFK Ventspils
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6
FK Metta
23 Aug
Rezekne
0 : 2
FK Metta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Metta 22 18 3 1 93:17 57
2 Valmiera 21 16 3 2 60:23 51
3 Leevon PPK 21 15 4 2 43:25 49
4 Riga Mariners 22 14 5 3 50:27 47
5 Alberts JDFS 21 11 4 6 42:31 37
6 Marupe 22 10 2 10 37:34 32
7 Skanste 21 8 2 11 43:42 26
8 Riga FC 2 21 7 5 9 29:37 26
9 Super Nova 2 21 6 7 8 28:32 25
10 Tukums 2000 2 21 5 3 13 27:60 18
11 FK Smiltene 21 4 4 13 29:57 16
12 RFS 2 22 4 3 15 36:65 15
13 JFK Ventspils 21 3 6 12 21:41 15
14 Rezekne 21 1 3 17 17:64 6
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