Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Super Nova 2 vs Tukums 2000 2

Latvia Latvia

1. Liga Sporta centrs Krasts, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Strelcovs I.
45' Event
Strelcovs I.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Strelcovs I.
Assist: Stupelis O.

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga game between Super Nova 2 and Tukums 2000 2 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Super Nova 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Super Nova 2
20%
Draws
16%
Tukums 2000 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Super Nova 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tukums 2000 2 come out ahead of Super Nova 2 on wins alone.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Super Nova 2 taking it.
  • Regular 1. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Super Nova 2 Clean Sheet 14%
Tukums 2000 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova 2 Tukums 2000 2
Matches Played 19 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.37 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.47 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 1. Liga
Super Nova 2 vs Tukums 2000 2
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Super Nova 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Strelcovs I.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Tukums 2000 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Klavins K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 2 84 / 100
Tukums 2000 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova 2 Tukums 2000 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Super Nova 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Super Nova 2's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 19 recent games.

Tukums 2000 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Tukums 2000 2's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova 2 VS Tukums 2000 2
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova 2

(Home)
29 Aug
Leevon PPK
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
23 Aug
Super Nova 2
1 : 1
Skanste
15 Aug
Marupe
2 : 1
Super Nova 2
08 Aug
JFK Ventspils
0 : 2
Super Nova 2
31 Jul
Super Nova 2
0 : 3
Riga Mariners
Page 1 of 4

Tukums 2000 2

(Away)
06 Sept
Tukums 2000 2
0 : 3
Leevon PPK
30 Aug
Skanste
6 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
09 Aug
Riga Mariners
4 : 2
Tukums 2000 2
03 Aug
Tukums 2000 2
1 : 1
Alberts JDFS
27 Jul
FK Metta
9 : 0
Tukums 2000 2
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valmiera 19 15 3 1 56:18 48
2 FK Metta 19 15 3 1 79:16 48
3 Leevon PPK 19 14 3 2 36:21 45
4 Riga Mariners 19 13 5 1 45:17 44
5 Alberts JDFS 19 11 4 4 40:26 37
6 Marupe 19 8 1 10 29:32 25
7 Riga FC 2 19 7 3 9 28:36 24
8 Super Nova 2 19 6 6 7 26:28 24
9 Skanste 19 7 2 10 39:38 23
10 RFS 2 19 4 3 12 28:52 15
11 JFK Ventspils 18 2 6 10 20:33 12
12 Tukums 2000 2 18 3 3 12 23:54 12
13 FK Smiltene 19 2 4 13 23:56 10
14 Rezekne 19 1 2 16 14:59 5
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