Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Super Nova vs RFS

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga LNK Sporta Parks, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

9'
Cirulis J.
14' Event
Glaudans A.
(Penalty)
18' Event
Panic S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

RFS in this Virsliga matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Super Nova
17%
Draws
70%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to RFS lately — more wins on the board than Super Nova.
  • RFS are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • RFS have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Super Nova Clean Sheet 10%
RFS Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Super Nova RFS
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 25
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 2
Goals Scored 0.75 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Virsliga
Super Nova vs RFS
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs Super Nova
2:0
Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
RFS vs Super Nova
5:2
Nov 2, 2025 Virsliga
Super Nova vs RFS
1:3
Aug 10, 2025 Virsliga
RFS vs Super Nova
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Super Nova Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Lemajic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Super Nova 14 / 100
RFS 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Super Nova RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Super Nova scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: RFS conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Super Nova remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Super Nova VS RFS
0.75 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Super Nova

(Home)
11 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Super Nova
06 Jul
Super Nova
1 : 2
Ogre United
01 Jul
Tukums 2000
1 : 2
Super Nova
25 Jun
Super Nova
1 : 5
Jelgava
21 Jun
Super Nova
0 : 2
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 6

RFS

(Away)
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Glentoran
12 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Jelgava
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2
RFS
04 Jul
RFS
1 : 1
FK Auda Riga
30 Jun
RFS
3 : 1
BFC Daugavpils
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Riga FC23184168:2058
2RFS22182254:1656
3FK Auda Riga22124637:2640
4BFC Daugavpils2386929:2930
5FK Liepaja22841028:3428
6Jelgava2267924:3825
7Super Nova22731223:3524
8Grobina22481015:3320
9Tukums 200023381238:4717
10Ogre United23341621:5913
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga 2027 (Main)