Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Supersport Utd vs Elgeco Plus

Africa Africa

CAF Confederation Cup 2017 Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium, Pretoria
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Brockie J.
(Penalty)
29' Event
Raveloarison Z.
38' Event
Lakay F.

AI Match Summary

Supersport Utd in this CAF Confederation Cup 2017 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Supersport Utd
35%
Draws
32%
Elgeco Plus
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Supersport Utd lately — more wins on the board than Elgeco Plus.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Supersport Utd taking it.
  • Supersport Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Supersport Utd, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Supersport Utd Clean Sheet 20%
Elgeco Plus Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Supersport Utd Elgeco Plus
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 8 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 0.81 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2017 CAF Confederation Cup
Supersport Utd vs Elgeco Plus
2:1
Feb 12, 2017 CAF Confederation Cup
Elgeco Plus vs Supersport Utd
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Supersport Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Lakay F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Elgeco Plus Compare

Top Goalscorer Raveloarison Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Supersport Utd 36 / 100
Elgeco Plus 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Supersport Utd Elgeco Plus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elgeco Plus let in goals in 75% of their last 20 matches.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Supersport Utd scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Supersport Utd stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Supersport Utd VS Elgeco Plus
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Supersport Utd

(Home)
29 May
Supersport Utd
1 : 1
Golden Arrows
24 May
Supersport Utd
0 : 2
Richards Bay
20 May
Supersport Utd
0 : 1
Orlando Pirates
17 May
Stellenbosch FC
2 : 1
Supersport Utd
03 May
Supersport Utd
2 : 0
Chippa Utd.
Page 1 of 7

Elgeco Plus

(Away)
27 Sept
Silver Strikers
0 : 0
Elgeco Plus
21 Sept
Elgeco Plus
1 : 1
Silver Strikers
25 Aug
CD Lunda Sul
0 : 0
Elgeco Plus
21 Aug
Elgeco Plus
1 : 1
CD Lunda Sul
27 Aug
Elgeco Plus
1 : 3
Gaborone Utd
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Young Africans -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
OC Renaissance 1
Akanda FC 0
Bechem United 3
MC Alger 5
Mazembe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile du Congo 3
Racing de Micomeseng 0
MC Breweries 3
Kabylie 4
Leopard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Azam -
TBD -
Orapa United 2
Mbabane Swall. 4
FUS Rabat -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sporting Gagnoa 3
Sonabel Ouagadougou 0
CARA Brazzaville 2
Maghreb Fez 3
Rangers International -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Le Messager Ngozi 4
KVZ 2
TBD -
Zesco -
CF Mounana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
APEJES Academy 2
Niary Tally 2
TBD -
ASEC Mimosas -
Kadiogo -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yong Sports 2
Mechal SC 1
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Bidvest Wits -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulinzi Stars 2
Al Hilal Benghazi 1
TBD -
Smouha -
CNaPS Sport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ngezi Platinum 2
Pamplemousses 1
TBD -
C.R.D. Libolo -
Kampala City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Djoliba -
TBD -
FC Ifeanyi Ubah 1
Al Masry 2
Gambia Ports -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanga Balende -
TBD -
St Michel United 0
Hilal El Obied 3
Port Louis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
RSLAF 2
Wikki Tourists 1
TBD -
Club Africain -
Rivers United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Onze Createurs -
TBD -
Wau Salaam 0
Rayon Sport 6
Barrack Young Controllers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ahli Shendi -
TBD -
Elgeco Plus 1
Supersport Utd 2
AS Tanda -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vipers 1
Volcan Club 1
UD Songo 0
Platinum Stars 2
Horoya -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kaloum Star -
TBD -
Douanes Niamey 1
IR Tanger 3
Semi-finals
Young Africans -
TBD -
OC Renaissance 2
MC Alger 3
Mazembe -
TBD -
Etoile du Congo 0
Kabylie 1
Leopard -
TBD -
Azam 1
Mbabane Swall. 3
FUS Rabat -
TBD -
Sporting Gagnoa 2
Maghreb Fez 3
Rangers International -
TBD -
Le Messager Ngozi 2
Zesco 4
CF Mounana -
TBD -
APEJES Academy 1
ASEC Mimosas 2
Kadiogo -
TBD -
Yong Sports 1
CS Sfaxien 6
Bidvest Wits -
TBD -
Ulinzi Stars 3
Smouha 4
CNaPS Sport -
TBD -
Ngezi Platinum 1
C.R.D. Libolo 2
Kampala City -
TBD -
Djoliba 2
Al Masry 0
Gambia Ports -
TBD -
Sanga Balende 1
Hilal El Obied 2
Port Louis -
TBD -
RSLAF 1
Club Africain 9
Rivers United -
TBD -
Onze Createurs 1
Rayon Sport 0
Barrack Young Controllers -
TBD -
Ahli Shendi 3
Supersport Utd 6
AS Tanda -
TBD -
Vipers 2
Platinum Stars 3
Horoya -
TBD -
Kaloum Star 1
IR Tanger 3
Stage 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stage 1
TBD -
TBD -
Final
Young Africans 1
MC Alger 4
Mazembe 2
Kabylie 0
Leopard 3
Mbabane Swall. 4
FUS Rabat 3
Maghreb Fez 2
Rangers International 2
Zesco 5
CF Mounana 2
ASEC Mimosas 1
Kadiogo 1
CS Sfaxien 4
Bidvest Wits 0
Smouha 1
CNaPS Sport 1
C.R.D. Libolo 1
Kampala City 2
Al Masry 1
Gambia Ports 1
Hilal El Obied 4
Port Louis 3
Club Africain 6
Rivers United 2
Rayon Sport 0
Barrack Young Controllers 1
Supersport Utd 6
AS Tanda 2
Platinum Stars 3
Horoya 4
IR Tanger 3