Sport Picks

South Africa

Premier League 2023/2024 Lucas Masterpieces Moripe Stadium

Swallows FC

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Supersport Utd play Swallows FC in the Premier League 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Supersport Utd averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.16 conceded. Swallows FC averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Supersport Utd won 2, Swallows FC won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on May 18, 2024 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.23 for Supersport Utd and 1.13 for Swallows FC. This points to a Supersport Utd double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%

Supersport Utd

35%

Draws

28%

Swallows FC

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Supersport Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Supersport Utd picked up more points recently compared to Swallows FC.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.23 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

Supersport Utd Clean Sheet 21%

Swallows FC Clean Sheet 12%

First Half Goal 59%

Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Supersport Utd	Swallows FC
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	9	8
Draws	9	7
Losses	13	15
Goals Scored	0.87	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.16	1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2024 Betway Premiership

Supersport Utd vs Swallows FC

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 2 - 2

2:0

Dec 15, 2023 Betway Premiership

Swallows FC vs Supersport Utd

Possession: 44% - 56% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Jan 28, 2023 Betway Premiership

Swallows FC vs Supersport Utd

Possession: 57% - 58% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Oct 30, 2022 Betway Premiership

Supersport Utd vs Swallows FC

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

May 6, 2022 Betway Premiership

Supersport Utd vs Swallows FC

Possession: 57% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Supersport Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Baloyi B.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Grobler B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

Swallows FC Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Supersport Utd 38 / 100

Swallows FC 28 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Supersport Utd Swallows FC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Supersport Utd or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +27.6%

3.45

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +19.9%

3.33

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Supersport Utd attacking → ← attacking Swallows FC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Supersport Utd scored in 58% of their last 31 games.

Swallows FC let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Supersport Utd went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Swallows FC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 31

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mamelodi Sundowns	30	22	7	1	52:11	73
2	Orlando Pirates	30	14	8	8	44:26	50
3	Stellenbosch FC	30	14	8	8	39:24	50
4	Sekhukhune	30	12	9	9	31:24	45
5	Cape Town City	30	12	9	9	32:26	45
6	TS Galaxy	30	12	8	10	31:25	44
7	Supersport Utd	30	11	11	8	35:33	44
8	Polokwane City	30	9	12	9	21:27	39
9	Golden Arrows	30	10	8	12	33:44	38
10	Kaizer Chiefs	30	9	9	12	25:30	36
11	AmaZulu	30	8	12	10	24:30	36
12	Chippa Utd.	30	8	10	12	26:29	34
13	Royal AM	30	9	6	15	24:43	33
14	Swallows FC	30	8	8	14	24:36	32
15	Richards Bay	30	8	6	16	24:37	30
16	Cape Town Spurs	30	6	5	19	23:43	23