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Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League CEPSUM Stadium, Montreal, QC
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Kobza E.
40'
El Kalkouli O.
46'
Sub
Kobza E. In: Elva C.
Out: Kobza E.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Supra du Quebec and Cavalry finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Supra du Quebec
35%
Draws
32%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cavalry come out ahead of Supra du Quebec on wins alone.
  • Cavalry are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cavalry have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 10%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Supra du Quebec Cavalry
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.72 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.78 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry
1:1
Jul 29, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Supra du Quebec
2:1
May 3, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Supra du Quebec Compare

Top Goalscorer Sissoko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Elva C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Supra du Quebec 26 / 100
Cavalry 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Supra du Quebec Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cavalry Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Supra du Quebec found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (18 games).

Cavalry let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Supra du Quebec has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Supra du Quebec VS Cavalry
1.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Supra du Quebec

(Home)
11 Aug
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 3
Supra du Quebec
09 Aug
Supra du Quebec
1 : 1
Cavalry
01 Aug
Pacific FC
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
29 Jul
Cavalry
2 : 1
Supra du Quebec
24 Jul
HFX Wanderers
2 : 3
Supra du Quebec
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Cavalry

(Away)
09 Aug
Supra du Quebec
1 : 1
Cavalry
02 Aug
Cavalry
5 : 0
Inter Toronto
29 Jul
Cavalry
2 : 1
Supra du Quebec
25 Jul
Vancouver FC
1 : 0
Cavalry
18 Jul
Cavalry
1 : 1
HFX Wanderers
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 17 11 4 2 33:10 37
2 Forge FC 16 11 2 3 24:11 35
3 Vancouver FC 17 8 3 6 26:17 27
4 Atletico Ottawa 17 8 3 6 27:30 27
5 Supra du Quebec 16 5 3 8 23:29 18
6 Inter Toronto 15 4 5 6 20:34 17
7 HFX Wanderers 18 4 5 9 24:30 17
8 Pacific FC 16 0 5 11 18:34 5
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)