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Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League CEPSUM Stadium, Montreal, QC
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Match Events

31'
Kobza E.
40'
El Kalkouli O.
46'
Sub
Kobza E. In: Elva C.
Out: Kobza E.

AI Match Summary

The Canadian Premier League game between Supra du Quebec and Cavalry finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Supra du Quebec
15%
Draws
37%
Cavalry
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Supra du Quebec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cavalry come out ahead of Supra du Quebec on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cavalry have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 10%
Cavalry Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Supra du Quebec Cavalry
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.61 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Supra du Quebec
6:0
Aug 9, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry
1:1
Jul 29, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs Supra du Quebec
2:1
May 3, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Cavalry
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Supra du Quebec Compare

Top Goalscorer Sissoko A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Cavalry Compare

Top Goalscorer Elva C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Supra du Quebec 30 / 100
Cavalry 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Supra du Quebec Cavalry

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Supra du Quebec found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (28 games).

Cavalry let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Supra du Quebec has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Supra du Quebec VS Cavalry
0.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Supra du Quebec

(Home)
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

Cavalry

(Away)
03 Oct
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Cavalry
30 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
3 : 2
Cavalry
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
13 Sept
Pacific FC
0 : 1
Cavalry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 25 9 4 12 38:45 31
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
Promotion - Canadian Premier League (Play Offs)