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Supra du Quebec vs Forge FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Championship CEPSUM Stadium, Montreal, QC
Supra du Quebec Logo

Supra du Quebec

1 - 1
FT
Forge FC Logo

Forge FC

Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Ampomah N.
36' Event
Conde I.
Assist: Kwemi L. A.
46'
Sub
Paton B. In: Jensen N.
Out: Paton B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Supra du Quebec
30%
Draws
35%
Forge FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Forge FC lately — more wins on the board than Supra du Quebec.
  • Model gives Supra du Quebec a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Forge FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Forge FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 15%
Forge FC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Supra du Quebec Forge FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 18
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.55 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.72 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Championship
Forge FC vs Supra du Quebec
1:0
Sep 1, 2026 Championship
Supra du Quebec vs Forge FC
1:1
Aug 28, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Forge FC
1:0
Aug 19, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Forge FC vs Supra du Quebec
3:2
Jul 5, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Forge FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Supra du Quebec Compare

Top Goalscorer Conde I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Forge FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Krutzen D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Supra du Quebec 35 / 100
Forge FC 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Supra du Quebec Forge FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Supra du Quebec's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Supra du Quebec has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Forge FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Supra du Quebec VS Forge FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Supra du Quebec

(Home)
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

Forge FC

(Away)
07 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 0
Pacific FC
03 Oct
Forge FC
3 : 3
HFX Wanderers
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
19 Sept
Cavalry
1 : 1
Forge FC
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps -
TBD -
Pacific FC 1
Cavalry 3
CF Montreal 5
Calgary Blizzard SC 0
Vancouver FC 2
Langley United SA 0
Forge FC 4
HFX Wanderers 0
Inter Toronto 0
CS Saint-Laurent 1
Toronto FC 1
Atletico Ottawa 3
Supra du Quebec 3
Woodbridge Strikers 1
Quarter-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 5
Cavalry 2
CF Montreal 4
Vancouver FC 2
Forge FC 3
CS Saint-Laurent 2
Atletico Ottawa 4
Supra du Quebec 6
Semi-finals
Vancouver Whitecaps 2
CF Montreal 3
Forge FC 2
Supra du Quebec 1
Final
CF Montreal -
Forge FC -