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Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Canada Canada

Canadian Premier League CEPSUM Stadium, Montreal, QC
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Match Events

11'
Pecile D.
12'
Biello A.
21' Event
Pecile D.
Assist: Mousset L.

AI Match Summary

Vancouver FC in this Canadian Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Vancouver FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Supra du Quebec
30%
Draws
28%
Vancouver FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Supra du Quebec

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Vancouver FC haven't matched Supra du Quebec's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Supra du Quebec taking it.
  • Regular Canadian Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Vancouver FC have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Supra du Quebec Clean Sheet 16%
Vancouver FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Supra du Quebec Vancouver FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.6 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec
3:2
Jul 17, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Supra du Quebec vs Vancouver FC
1:5
May 23, 2026 Canadian Premier League
Vancouver FC vs Supra du Quebec
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Supra du Quebec Compare

Top Goalscorer Bayiha C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Vancouver FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Pecile D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Campagna M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Supra du Quebec 57 / 100
Vancouver FC 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Supra du Quebec Vancouver FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Supra du Quebec Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Supra du Quebec's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Vancouver FC has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Supra du Quebec went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Supra du Quebec VS Vancouver FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Supra du Quebec

(Home)
07 Oct
Inter Toronto
1 : 2
Supra du Quebec
04 Oct
Supra du Quebec
5 : 0
Pacific FC
26 Sept
Cavalry
6 : 0
Supra du Quebec
20 Sept
Atletico Ottawa
0 : 2
Supra du Quebec
15 Sept
Forge FC
1 : 0
Supra du Quebec
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Vancouver FC

(Away)
26 Sept
Vancouver FC
1 : 1
Forge FC
24 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 3
Inter Toronto
20 Sept
Pacific FC
1 : 1
Vancouver FC
13 Sept
Inter Toronto
3 : 1
Vancouver FC
06 Sept
Vancouver FC
3 : 2
Supra du Quebec
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cavalry 25 16 5 4 51:19 53
2 Forge FC 25 15 6 4 41:20 51
3 Atletico Ottawa 25 12 4 9 38:41 40
4 Vancouver FC 25 9 6 10 35:33 33
5 Supra du Quebec 25 9 4 12 38:45 31
6 HFX Wanderers 25 7 6 12 38:42 27
7 Inter Toronto 25 6 9 10 40:56 27
8 Pacific FC 25 2 8 15 30:55 14
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