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Sur-Car vs 24 de Septiembre

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sur-Car in this Nacional B 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sur-Car.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sur-Car
6%
Draws
90%
24 de Septiembre
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: 24 de Septiembre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • 24 de Septiembre average 2 goals a game right now, well clear of Sur-Car's 1.38.
  • 24 de Septiembre are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Sur-Car Clean Sheet 20%
24 de Septiembre Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sur-Car 24 de Septiembre
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Sur-Car
3:1
Oct 16, 2022 Copa Simon Bolivar
Sur-Car vs 24 de Septiembre
2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sur-Car 10 / 100
24 de Septiembre 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sur-Car 24 de Septiembre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 24S Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

24 de Septiembre let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Sur-Car found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Solid form: Sur-Car remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sur-Car VS 24 de Septiembre
1.38 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Atletico Bermejo0
Vaca Diez6
Real Oruro1
Fatic3
Cerveceria2
Deportivo Juva4
Nueva Cliza1
Destroyers2
24 de Septiembre3
Garcia Agreda2
Sur-Car6
Mariscal Sucre2
Libertad Gran Mamore6
Academia del Balompie2
Enrique Happ3
Stormers SC2
Quarter-finals
Vaca Diez4
Fatic3
Deportivo Juva1
Destroyers2
24 de Septiembre4
Sur-Car3
Libertad Gran Mamore4
Enrique Happ0
Semi-finals
Vaca Diez4
Destroyers3
24 de Septiembre6
Libertad Gran Mamore8
Final
Vaca Diez3
Libertad Gran Mamore2