Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suriname vs El Salvador

World World

World Championship 2026 Franklin Essed Stadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Suriname play El Salvador in the World Championship 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Suriname averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1 conceded. El Salvador averaged 0.5 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Suriname won 2, El Salvador won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 13, 2025 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Suriname and 0.75 for El Salvador. This points to a Suriname double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Suriname
33%
Draws
27%
El Salvador
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Suriname

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • El Salvador has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Suriname.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Suriname.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in World Championship 2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Suriname Clean Sheet 68%
El Salvador Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suriname El Salvador
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 11
Draws 9 8
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.25 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 World Championship
Suriname vs El Salvador
4:0
Sep 9, 2025 World Championship
El Salvador vs Suriname
1:2
Jun 11, 2025 World Championship
El Salvador vs Suriname
1:1
Nov 16, 2011 World Championship
El Salvador vs Suriname
4:0
Nov 11, 2011 World Championship
Suriname vs El Salvador
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suriname Compare

Top Goalscorer Margaret R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Klas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

El Salvador Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suriname 50 / 100
El Salvador 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suriname El Salvador

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suriname scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

El Salvador let in goals in 70% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Suriname went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

El Salvador lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suriname VS El Salvador
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Panama63309:412
2Suriname62319:69
3Guatemala62228:78
4El Salvador61052:113
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Curacao633013:312
2Jamaica632111:311
3Trinidad & Tobago61417:67
4Bermuda60154:231
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Haiti63219:611
2Honduras62315:29
3Costa Rica61418:67
4Nicaragua61144:124