Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suriname vs Martinique

North & Central America North & Central America

Gold Cup Franklin Essed Stadion, Paramaribo
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Mandouki C.
52' Event
Kerk G.
Assist: Jubitana D.
55'
Dussaut D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Suriname
35%
Draws
19%
Martinique
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Suriname

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Martinique haven't matched Suriname's recent run of results.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Suriname taking it.
  • Suriname have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Suriname, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Suriname Clean Sheet 68%
Martinique Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suriname Martinique
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.37 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 0.77
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Gold Cup
Martinique vs Suriname
0:1
Mar 21, 2025 Gold Cup
Suriname vs Martinique
1:0
Mar 24, 2024 Friendly International
Suriname vs Martinique
1:1
Sep 7, 2014 Caribbean Cup
Martinique vs Suriname
0:0
Sep 9, 2012 Caribbean Cup
Martinique vs Suriname
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suriname Compare

Top Goalscorer Kerk G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Martinique Compare

Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.43

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suriname 95 / 100
Martinique 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suriname Martinique

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suriname Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suriname scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Martinique let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Recent resilience: Suriname stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suriname VS Martinique
0.88 Goals Scored 0.29
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.29
50% Over 1.5 43%
25% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Suriname

(Home)
26 Mar
Bolivia
2 : 1
Suriname
19 Nov
Guatemala
3 : 1
Suriname
13 Nov
Suriname
4 : 0
El Salvador
15 Oct
Panama
1 : 1
Suriname
10 Oct
Suriname
1 : 1
Guatemala
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Martinique

(Away)
29 Mar
Martinique
0 : 1
El Salvador
26 Mar
Martinique
2 : 2
Cuba
21 Feb
Martinique
0 : 2
Jamaica
18 Nov
Dominican Republic
0 : 0
Martinique
16 Nov
Martinique
0 : 2
Cuba
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Costa Rica 13
Belize 1
Jamaica 4
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines 1
Honduras 7
Bermuda 3
Guatemala 4
Guyana 3
Trinidad & Tobago 6
Cuba 1
Martinique 0
Suriname 2
Nicaragua 0
Guadeloupe 2