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Surnadal vs Aalesund 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 8
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aalesund 2 in this Division 3 - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 1-6 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aalesund 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Surnadal
30%
Draws
31%
Aalesund 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Surnadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Aalesund 2 lately — more wins on the board than Surnadal.
  • Surnadal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aalesund 2 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 18%
Aalesund 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Surnadal Aalesund 2
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 3 11
Draws 7 3
Losses 18 17
Goals Scored 1.36 1.94
Goals Conceded 3.36 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.29 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Aalesund 2 vs Surnadal
4:0
Jun 23, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs Aalesund 2
5:0
Oct 22, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Surnadal vs Aalesund 2
1:6
Jun 25, 2016 Division 3 - Group 8
Aalesund 2 vs Surnadal
6:1
Aug 19, 2013 Division 3 - Group 9
Aalesund 2 vs Surnadal
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Surnadal 85 / 100
Aalesund 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Surnadal Aalesund 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Surnadal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Surnadal's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Aalesund 2 conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 6.20 goals when they meet.

Surnadal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aalesund 2
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 3.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Surnadal

(Home)
26 Oct
Surnadal
1 : 3
Spjelkavik
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
04 Oct
Melhus
1 : 1
Surnadal
27 Sept
Surnadal
4 : 1
Nardo
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Aalesund 2

(Away)
25 Sept
Aalesund 2
1 : 7
Rosenborg 2
20 Sept
Orkla
2 : 2
Aalesund 2
14 Sept
Aalesund 2
3 : 2
Spjelkavik
07 Sept
Molde 2
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
17 Aug
FK Kvik
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
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