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Surnadal vs FK Kvik

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Melkild P.
54' Event
Fredriksen T.
66' Event
Fredriksen T.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 2 2025 game between Surnadal and FK Kvik finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Surnadal
20%
Draws
30%
FK Kvik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Surnadal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Kvik come out ahead of Surnadal on wins alone.
  • Model gives Surnadal a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Surnadal Clean Sheet 14%
FK Kvik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Surnadal FK Kvik
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 3 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 1.36 1.68
Goals Conceded 3.36 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
FK Kvik vs Surnadal
5:1
Jul 5, 2025 Division 3 - Group 2
Surnadal vs FK Kvik
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Surnadal Compare

Top Goalscorer Melkild P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kvande S. H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

FK Kvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Fredriksen T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.46
Avg xA / game 0.89

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Surnadal 84 / 100
FK Kvik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Surnadal FK Kvik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Surnadal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Surnadal scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

FK Kvik's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Surnadal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Kvik
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Surnadal

(Home)
26 Oct
Surnadal
1 : 3
Spjelkavik
18 Oct
Tiller
1 : 1
Surnadal
11 Oct
Surnadal
2 : 3
Kristiansund 2
04 Oct
Melhus
1 : 1
Surnadal
27 Sept
Surnadal
4 : 1
Nardo
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FK Kvik

(Away)
19 Sept
FK Kvik
0 : 2
Ntnui
12 Sept
Strindheim
1 : 0
FK Kvik
07 Sept
FK Kvik
0 : 7
Ranheim 2
30 Aug
Volda
6 : 0
FK Kvik
17 Aug
FK Kvik
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
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