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Sursee vs Baden

Switzerland Switzerland

1.Liga Classic Group 2 2017/2018
Sursee Logo

Sursee

3 - 2
FT
Baden Logo

Baden

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sursee in this 1.Liga Classic Group 2 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sursee.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Sursee
15%
Draws
53%
Baden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Baden

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Baden lately — more wins on the board than Sursee.
  • Win probability leans Baden's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Sursee Clean Sheet 18%
Baden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sursee Baden
Matches Played 29 34
Wins 7 12
Draws 2 9
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.31 1.91
Goals Conceded 2.31 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2019 Club Friendly
Baden vs Sursee
4:0
Mar 14, 2018 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Sursee vs Baden
3:2
Aug 16, 2017 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Baden vs Sursee
3:1
May 6, 2017 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Baden vs Sursee
2:2
Oct 15, 2016 1.Liga Classic Group 2
Sursee vs Baden
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sursee 12 / 100
Baden 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sursee Baden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Baden Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Baden let in goals in 85% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Sursee's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sursee has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Baden
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sursee

(Home)
14 Sept
Sursee
1 : 2
Bulle
17 Aug
Rothorn
1 : 3
Sursee
24 Jul
Baden
4 : 0
Sursee
26 May
Schotz
0 : 2
Sursee
19 May
Sursee
0 : 2
Black Stars
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Baden

(Away)
12 Sept
Tuggen
2 : 1
Baden
05 Sept
Baden
3 : 1
Wettswil-Bonstetten
29 Aug
St. Gallen II
0 : 3
Baden
22 Aug
Baden
3 : 1
Eschen/Mauren
14 Aug
Freienbach
2 : 2
Baden
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solothurn 26 21 3 2 56:15 66
2 Munsingen 26 13 12 1 51:21 51
3 Black Stars 26 15 3 8 63:32 48
4 Luzern II 26 14 6 6 59:39 48
5 Buochs 26 12 9 5 56:38 45
6 Grasshopper II 26 11 7 8 62:45 40
7 Schotz 26 10 5 11 46:53 35
8 Zug 26 9 6 11 37:40 33
9 Delemont 26 10 3 13 42:53 33
10 Baden 26 8 4 14 41:53 28
11 Langenthal 26 6 7 13 34:53 25
12 Bassecourt 26 3 12 11 31:54 21
13 Sursee 26 6 2 18 34:60 20
14 Kickers Luzern 26 2 5 19 12:68 11
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1.Liga Classic Group 1 2017/2018 (Play Offs)