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Susa vs Karvan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The First Division 2013/2014 game between Susa and Karvan finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
Susa
30%
Draws
62%
Karvan
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Karvan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Susa come out ahead of Karvan on wins alone.
  • Model gives Karvan a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular First Division 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Susa Clean Sheet 20%
Karvan Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Susa Karvan
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 14 4
Draws 4 8
Losses 12 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.82
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2014 I Liqa
Susa vs Karvan
1:1
Dec 8, 2013 I Liqa
Karvan vs Susa
1:1
Mar 17, 2012 I Liqa
Susa vs Karvan
2:0
Oct 22, 2011 I Liqa
Karvan vs Susa
2:1
Mar 19, 2011 I Liqa
Susa vs Karvan
3:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Susa 16 / 100
Karvan 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Susa Karvan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Karvan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Karvan has conceded goals in 88% of their last 33 outings.

Susa's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Susa stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Karvan
0 Goals Scored 0.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Susa

(Home)
27 May
Susa
1 : 2
Agsu (Inactive)
23 May
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Susa
14 May
Susa
1 : 2
Kapaz
07 May
ANSAD Neftcala
3 : 2
Susa
30 Apr
Susa
1 : 1
Lokbatan
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Karvan

(Away)
08 Oct
Sabail
1 : 1
Karvan
16 Sept
Karvan
3 : 0
Zaqatala PFK
09 Sept
Sahdag Qusar
2 : 0
Karvan
03 Sept
Baku Sporting
0 : 3
Karvan
24 May
Imisli FK
1 : 1
Karvan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 30 25 4 1 66:11 79
2 ANSAD Neftcala 30 21 5 4 80:22 68
3 Lokbatan 30 18 9 3 52:14 63
4 Agsu (Inactive) 30 17 7 6 56:26 58
5 Sahdag Qusar 30 16 7 7 55:22 55
6 Susa 30 15 9 6 60:26 54
7 Turan 30 13 5 12 52:46 44
8 Karvan 30 12 6 12 46:56 42
9 Imisli FK 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
10 Bilajary 30 12 3 15 42:58 39
11 Shamkir 30 8 7 15 28:42 31
12 MOIK Baku 30 7 8 15 37:56 29
13 Kapaz 30 7 4 19 29:37 25
14 Bakili Baku 30 6 6 18 34:60 24
15 Goyazan Qazax 30 3 2 25 13:89 11
16 Mingachevir 30 2 5 23 11:92 11
Promotion - Premier League 2014/2015 (Main)