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Susa vs Mingachevir - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Azerbaijan Azerbaijan

First Division 2013/2014
Susa Logo

Susa

5 - 0
FT
Mingachevir Logo

Mingachevir

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Susa in this First Division 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 5-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Susa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Susa
20%
Draws
64%
Mingachevir
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mingachevir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Susa average 1.63 goals a game right now, well clear of Mingachevir's 1.55.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Susa have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Susa Clean Sheet 17%
Mingachevir Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Susa Mingachevir
Matches Played 30 42
Wins 14 14
Draws 4 12
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.63 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2015 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Susa
0:3
Nov 28, 2014 I Liqa
Susa vs Mingachevir
5:0
Apr 26, 2014 I Liqa
Susa vs Mingachevir
5:0
Oct 11, 2013 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Susa
0:2
Mar 23, 2013 I Liqa
Mingachevir vs Susa
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Susa 30 / 100
Mingachevir 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Susa Mingachevir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Susa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Susa found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Mingachevir conceded in 76% of 42 recent games.

Mingachevir lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mingachevir
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Susa

(Home)
27 May
Susa
1 : 2
Agsu (Inactive)
23 May
MOIK Baku
3 : 1
Susa
14 May
Susa
1 : 2
Kapaz
07 May
ANSAD Neftcala
3 : 2
Susa
30 Apr
Susa
1 : 1
Lokbatan
Page 1 of 6

Mingachevir

(Away)
17 Sept
Mingachevir
0 : 3
Gancabasar
10 Sept
Sabail
2 : 1
Mingachevir
04 Sept
Mingachevir
2 : 2
Zaqatala PFK
28 May
Gabala
2 : 0
Mingachevir
22 May
Mingachevir
4 : 1
Sabail
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araz PFK 30 25 4 1 66:11 79
2 ANSAD Neftcala 30 21 5 4 80:22 68
3 Lokbatan 30 18 9 3 52:14 63
4 Agsu (Inactive) 30 17 7 6 56:26 58
5 Sahdag Qusar 30 16 7 7 55:22 55
6 Susa 30 15 9 6 60:26 54
7 Turan 30 13 5 12 52:46 44
8 Karvan 30 12 6 12 46:56 42
9 Imisli FK 30 11 7 12 29:33 40
10 Bilajary 30 12 3 15 42:58 39
11 Shamkir 30 8 7 15 28:42 31
12 MOIK Baku 30 7 8 15 37:56 29
13 Kapaz 30 7 4 19 29:37 25
14 Bakili Baku 30 6 6 18 34:60 24
15 Goyazan Qazax 30 3 2 25 13:89 11
16 Mingachevir 30 2 5 23 11:92 11
Promotion - Premier League 2014/2015 (Main)