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Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Seymour Shaw Park, Sutherland
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Fowler Z.
58' Event
Perez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL NSW matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sutherland Sharks
30%
Draws
39%
Sydney FC U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sydney FC U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Sutherland Sharks have won more games recently than Sydney FC U23.
  • 31% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular NPL NSW form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 20%
Sydney FC U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutherland Sharks Sydney FC U23
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 4 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U23
1:1
Apr 24, 2026 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs Sutherland Sharks
0:0
Aug 9, 2025 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U23
4:0
Apr 25, 2025 NPL NSW
Sydney FC U23 vs Sutherland Sharks
2:0
Jul 20, 2024 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Sydney FC U23
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutherland Sharks Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Sydney FC U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fowler Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutherland Sharks 31 / 100
Sydney FC U23 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutherland Sharks Sydney FC U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sutherland Sharks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sutherland Sharks scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Sydney FC U23 let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Sutherland Sharks has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sutherland Sharks VS Sydney FC U23
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutherland Sharks

(Home)
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1
St. George City
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0
Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
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Sydney FC U23

(Away)
30 Aug
Sydney Olympic
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
21 Aug
Sydney FC U23
2 : 1
Rockdale Ilinden
14 Aug
Sydney FC U23
0 : 2
St. George City
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1
Sydney FC U23
02 Aug
Blacktown City
4 : 2
Sydney FC U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 APIA Leichhardt 30 21 5 4 66:35 68
2 Sydney Utd 30 20 4 6 47:20 64
3 Marconi Stallions 30 19 5 6 50:22 62
4 Sutherland Sharks 30 14 4 12 46:38 46
5 Manly Utd 30 12 8 10 39:35 44
6 NWS Spirit 30 12 5 13 37:38 41
7 SD Raiders 30 12 5 13 44:49 41
8 Sydney FC U23 30 11 8 11 38:43 41
9 Rockdale Ilinden 30 12 4 14 46:44 40
10 Western Sydney Wanderers U21 30 11 5 14 55:49 38
11 Wollongong 30 11 5 14 35:43 38
12 St. George City 30 10 7 13 30:46 37
13 Blacktown City 30 9 8 13 43:46 35
14 UNSW 30 9 5 16 38:49 32
15 St George Saints 30 8 3 19 28:55 27
16 Sydney Olympic 30 6 5 19 32:62 23
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)