Sport Picks
Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong
Australia
NPL NSW Seymour Shaw Park, Sutherland 
Match Events
30'
30'
Choi S.
71'
71'
Mcgowan T.
81'
81'
Kanaizumi B.
AI Match Summary
The NPL NSW game between Sutherland Sharks and Wollongong finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sutherland Sharks.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
34%
15%
51%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Wollongong
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Sutherland Sharks come out ahead of Wollongong on wins alone.
- Sutherland Sharks are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Wollongong here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 18%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutherland Sharks | Wollongong |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 12 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.57 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong
2:1
Apr 19, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Sutherland Sharks
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong
1:3
Apr 13, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Sutherland Sharks
4:0
Jun 12, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Sutherland Sharks
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutherland Sharks Compare
Top Goalscorer Choi S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mcgowan T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Wollongong Compare
Top Goalscorer Kanaizumi B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutherland Sharks 49 / 100
Wollongong 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutherland Sharks Wollongong
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sutherland Sharks Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sutherland Sharks found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Wollongong conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Wollongong's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Sutherland Sharks VS Wollongong
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutherland Sharks
(Home) 02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
16 Aug
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0 Sutherland Sharks
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1 Sydney FC U23
Page 1 of 6
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2 SD Raiders
22 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 St. George City
08 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1 Sydney FC U23
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 Wollongong
Page 1 of 4
Wollongong
(Away) 30 Aug
Wollongong
0 : 4 Manly Utd
23 Aug
Wollongong
3 : 0 Western Sydney Wanderers U21
16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
09 Aug
Wollongong
1 : 2 Sydney Utd
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 Wollongong
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16 Aug
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 2 Wollongong
01 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
2 : 1 Wollongong
11 Jul
Sydney Olympic
3 : 2 Wollongong
27 Jun
NWS Spirit
2 : 0 Wollongong
07 Jun
Marconi Stallions
1 : 0 Wollongong
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | APIA Leichhardt | 30 | 21 | 5 | 4 | 66:35 | 68 |
| 2 | Sydney Utd | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 47:20 | 64 |
| 3 | Marconi Stallions | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 50:22 | 62 |
| 4 | Sutherland Sharks | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 46:38 | 46 |
| 5 | Manly Utd | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 39:35 | 44 |
| 6 | NWS Spirit | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 37:38 | 41 |
| 7 | SD Raiders | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 44:49 | 41 |
| 8 | Sydney FC U23 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:43 | 41 |
| 9 | Rockdale Ilinden | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | 46:44 | 40 |
| 10 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 55:49 | 38 |
| 11 | Wollongong | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 35:43 | 38 |
| 12 | St. George City | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Blacktown City | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 43:46 | 35 |
| 14 | UNSW | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 38:49 | 32 |
| 15 | St George Saints | 30 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 28:55 | 27 |
| 16 | Sydney Olympic | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 32:62 | 23 |
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)
