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Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong

Australia Australia

NPL NSW Seymour Shaw Park, Sutherland
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
06:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sutherland Sharks host Wollongong in the NPL NSW. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Sutherland Sharks at 1.88 goals for, 1.13 against; Wollongong at 1.13 for, 1.88 against. Past meetings favor Wollongong slightly — 0-5-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.88 - 1.13) back Sutherland Sharks to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Sutherland Sharks
6%
Draws
4%
Wollongong
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sutherland Sharks

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sutherland Sharks come out ahead of Wollongong on wins alone.
  • Sutherland Sharks are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Wollongong here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sutherland Sharks Clean Sheet 20%
Wollongong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutherland Sharks Wollongong
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 14 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Sutherland Sharks
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong
1:3
Apr 13, 2025 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Sutherland Sharks
4:0
Jun 12, 2024 NPL NSW
Wollongong vs Sutherland Sharks
2:1
Mar 6, 2024 NPL NSW
Sutherland Sharks vs Wollongong
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutherland Sharks 85 / 100
Wollongong 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutherland Sharks Wollongong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SUT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sutherland Sharks scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Wollongong conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Recent resilience: Sutherland Sharks stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sutherland Sharks VS Wollongong
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutherland Sharks

(Home)
26 Jul
Rockdale Ilinden
1 : 3
Sutherland Sharks
18 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 1
Sydney Olympic
11 Jul
Manly Utd
2 : 1
Sutherland Sharks
04 Jul
Sutherland Sharks
3 : 2
APIA Leichhardt
27 Jun
UNSW
1 : 3
Sutherland Sharks
Page 1 of 6

Wollongong

(Away)
26 Jul
Wollongong
0 : 2
Blacktown City
18 Jul
Wollongong
2 : 3
SD Raiders
11 Jul
Sydney Olympic
3 : 2
Wollongong
05 Jul
Wollongong
3 : 3
St. George City
27 Jun
NWS Spirit
2 : 0
Wollongong
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1APIA Leichhardt25183456:3157
2Marconi Stallions25174446:1755
3Sydney Utd25163635:1851
4Sutherland Sharks251231040:3239
5Rockdale Ilinden251231043:3639
6Sydney FC U2325106932:3436
7Manly Utd2597929:2934
8Western Sydney Wanderers U2125951149:3932
9Wollongong25951128:3432
10SD Raiders25951135:4232
11UNSW25941236:4031
12NWS Spirit25941228:3431
13Blacktown City25771135:3928
14St. George City25771123:4028
15St George Saints25621723:4520
16Sydney Olympic25541626:5419
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL NSW (Play Offs)
Relegation - NPL NSW (Relegation)
Relegation - NSW League One 2027 (Main)