Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sutton vs Altrincham

England England

National League VBS Community Stadium, London
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ogbonna D.
Assist: Babalola T.
29'
Nzuzi N.
31'
Sub
Taylor J. In: Mussa O.
Out: Taylor J.

AI Match Summary

Sutton in this National League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sutton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Sutton
15%
Draws
64%
Altrincham
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Altrincham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Altrincham lately — more wins on the board than Sutton.
  • Win probability leans Altrincham's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sutton Clean Sheet 19%
Altrincham Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Altrincham
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.19 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Altrincham
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 National League
Sutton vs Altrincham
1:2
Sep 6, 2025 National League
Altrincham vs Sutton
2:1
Dec 14, 2024 National League
Altrincham vs Sutton
1:0
Aug 17, 2024 National League
Sutton vs Altrincham
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogbonna D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Altrincham Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 28 / 100
Altrincham 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Altrincham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Altrincham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Sutton scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

Altrincham let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Sutton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS Altrincham
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
15 Sept
Sutton
2 : 1
Eastleigh
12 Sept
Sutton
0 : 2
Scunthorpe
08 Sept
Sutton
1 : 2
Birmingham U21
05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0
Sutton
Page 1 of 6

Altrincham

(Away)
19 Sept
AFC Fylde
1 : 2
Altrincham
16 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Hartlepool
12 Sept
Woking
5 : 1
Altrincham
04 Sept
Altrincham
2 : 1
Eastleigh
31 Aug
Forest Green
1 : 2
Altrincham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Boreham Wood 9 7 2 0 23:11 23
2 Southend 9 6 2 1 23:12 20
3 Kidderminster 9 5 3 1 13:7 18
4 AFC Fylde 9 5 2 2 20:13 17
5 Harrogate 9 5 1 3 20:16 16
6 Sutton 9 5 1 3 10:10 16
7 Yeovil 9 4 3 2 18:14 15
8 Aldershot 9 4 3 2 10:7 15
9 Hornchurch 9 5 0 4 11:12 15
10 Altrincham 9 5 0 4 12:15 15
11 Worthing FC 9 4 2 3 17:15 14
12 Eastleigh 9 4 2 3 11:10 14
13 Halifax 9 4 1 4 14:11 13
14 Forest Green 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
15 Boston United 9 3 2 4 13:13 11
16 Carlisle 9 2 4 3 16:14 10
17 Barrow 9 2 3 4 11:12 9
18 Woking 9 2 3 4 10:12 9
19 Hartlepool 9 3 0 6 7:11 9
20 Wealdstone 9 2 2 5 11:15 8
21 Tamworth 9 2 2 5 16:23 8
22 Scunthorpe 9 2 1 6 11:15 7
23 Solihull Moors 9 1 1 7 9:23 4
24 Gateshead 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
Promotion - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)