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Stadium Background

Sutton vs Brighton U21

England England

National League Cup VBS Community Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Tizzard W. In: Urpens D.
Out: Tizzard W.
46'
Sub
Odelusi S. In: Wadham J.
Out: Odelusi S.
60'
Sub
De Silva D. In: Pruti E.
Out: De Silva D.

AI Match Summary

The National League Cup game between Sutton and Brighton U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brighton U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Sutton
6%
Draws
90%
Brighton U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Brighton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Brighton U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Brighton U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal National League Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Sutton Clean Sheet 10%
Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Brighton U21
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.75 2.33
Goals Conceded 2 0.33
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Sutton vs Brighton U21
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sutton Compare

Top Goalscorer Nadesan A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Brighton U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nti S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barclay B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 10 / 100
Brighton U21 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Brighton U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sutton's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Defensive concern: Brighton U21 conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Sutton went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS Brighton U21
0.75 Goals Scored 2.33
2 Goals Conceded 0.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
13% Over 3.5 33%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tamworth440012:112
2Brackley43017:310
3Rochdale43016:59
4Solihull Moors43016:38
5Everton U2142024:55
6Manchester United U2141034:93
7Burnley U2140042:81
8Blackburn U2140042:90
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood440013:412
2Braintree43018:59
3Wealdstone43016:49
4Forest Green42028:67
5Nottingham U2142023:36
6West Brom U2141035:103
7Leicester U2141036:102
8Wolves U2140045:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Ham U21440013:411
2Truro43017:59
3Woking43015:48
4Brighton U2142025:67
5Aldershot41037:114
6Sutton41038:134
7Fulham U2141038:53
8Southampton U2141037:122
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Boston United430111:49
2Halifax43016:29
3Newcastle Utd U2142027:67
4Scunthorpe42028:86
5Leeds U2142026:86
6Sunderland U2142025:86
7Middlesbrough U2141036:73
8Gateshead41034:102