Sport Picks
Sutton vs Brighton U21
England
National League Cup 2025/2026 VBS Community Stadium, London 
Match Events
46'
46'
Sub
Tizzard W. In: Urpens D.
Out: Tizzard W.
46'
46'
Sub
Odelusi S. In: Wadham J.
Out: Odelusi S.
60'
60'
Sub
De Silva D. In: Pruti E.
Out: De Silva D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Brighton U21 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sutton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Brighton U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Brighton U21's way, sitting at 70%.
- Brighton U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Brighton U21, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Sutton Clean Sheet 20%
Brighton U21 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sutton | Brighton U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 25 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 12 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.66 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 16, 2025 National League Cup
Sutton vs Brighton U21
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sutton Compare
Top Goalscorer Nadesan A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Brighton U21 Compare
Top Goalscorer Nti S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Barclay B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sutton 16 / 100
Brighton U21 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sutton Brighton U21
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Brighton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sutton scored in 72% of their last 25 games.
Brighton U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Sutton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sutton VS Brighton U21
1.63 Goals Scored 1.43
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 14%
Recent Form & Match History
Sutton
(Home) 05 Sept
Barrow
3 : 0 Sutton
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2 Wealdstone
28 Aug
Gateshead
0 : 1 Sutton
22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1 Hartlepool
18 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Leicester U21
Page 1 of 5
31 Aug
Sutton
0 : 2 Wealdstone
22 Aug
Sutton
2 : 1 Hartlepool
18 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Leicester U21
15 Aug
Sutton
1 : 0 Altrincham
01 Aug
Sutton
3 : 2 Southampton U21
Page 1 of 3
Brighton U21
(Away) 04 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 1 Brighton U21
31 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 2 Arsenal U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Brighton U21
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3 Brighton U21
14 Aug
Brighton U21
2 : 0 Millwall U21
Page 1 of 6
04 Sept
West Ham U21
1 : 1 Brighton U21
21 Aug
Aston Villa U21
2 : 1 Brighton U21
18 Aug
Northampton
0 : 3 Brighton U21
28 Jul
Worthing FC
2 : 1 Brighton U21
08 May
Tottenham U21
1 : 3 Brighton U21
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tamworth | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Brackley | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Rochdale | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:5 | 9 |
| 4 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 5 | Everton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 6 | Manchester United U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 7 | Burnley U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 1 |
| 8 | Blackburn U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:9 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boreham Wood | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Braintree | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Wealdstone | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 4 | Forest Green | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Nottingham U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3:3 | 6 |
| 6 | West Brom U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 3 |
| 7 | Leicester U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 2 |
| 8 | Wolves U21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5:12 | 0 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | West Ham U21 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Truro | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 9 |
| 3 | Woking | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 4 | Brighton U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:11 | 4 |
| 6 | Sutton | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 7 | Fulham U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:5 | 3 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7:12 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston United | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Halifax | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 9 |
| 3 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Scunthorpe | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 5 | Leeds U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 6 | Sunderland U21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Middlesbrough U21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Gateshead | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 2 |
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
