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Sutton vs Southampton U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup VBS Community Stadium, London
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 4-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Sutton at 1.28 goals for, 1.48 against; Southampton U21 at 1.84 for, 1.68 against. Past meetings favor Sutton slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.35 - 2.16) back Sutton to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Sutton
20%
Draws
56%
Southampton U21
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southampton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Southampton U21 come out ahead of Sutton on wins alone.
  • 56% — that's where the model lands on Southampton U21 taking it.
  • Southampton U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sutton, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Sutton Clean Sheet 10%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton Southampton U21
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 12 13
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.28 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 2.16
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Club Friendly
Sutton vs Southampton U21
3:2
Nov 25, 2025 National League Cup
Sutton vs Southampton U21
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 10 / 100
Southampton U21 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton Southampton U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton U21 has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Sutton scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Sutton went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS Southampton U21
1 Goals Scored 2.57
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.71
88% Over 1.5 86%
50% Over 2.5 57%
13% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
13 Oct
Sutton
3 : 2
West Brom U21
09 Oct
Sutton
0 : 2
Boreham Wood
03 Oct
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Sutton
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0
Sutton
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3
Forest Green
Page 1 of 6

Southampton U21

(Away)
13 Oct
Boston United
5 : 6
Southampton U21
09 Oct
Southampton U21
5 : 1
QPR U21
18 Sept
Wolves U21
0 : 2
Southampton U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1
Southampton U21
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Scunthorpe 3 3 0 0 8:3 8
3 Wolves U21 3 2 0 1 3:4 5
4 Derby U21 3 1 0 2 7:9 4
5 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 3 0 0 3 2:4 2
8 Stoke City U21 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Norwich U21 3 2 0 1 5:6 5
3 Ipswich U21 3 2 0 1 3:5 5
4 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
5 Aldershot 3 1 0 2 7:8 4
6 Braintree 3 1 0 2 5:6 4
7 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
8 Worthing FC 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Solihull Moors 4 2 0 2 6:7 6
5 Everton U21 3 2 0 1 2:2 5
6 Newcastle Utd U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
8 Hartlepool 3 0 0 3 1:13 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Woking 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Sutton 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
4 West Brom U21 3 2 0 1 3:3 5
5 Birmingham U21 3 2 0 1 4:6 5
6 Southampton U21 3 1 0 2 8:11 3
7 Leicester U21 3 0 0 3 3:6 2
8 Boston United 3 0 0 3 7:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)