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Sutton vs West Brom U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

National League Cup VBS Community Stadium, London
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. West Brom U21 have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Sutton have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.21. Head-to-head, Sutton have won 1 to West Brom U21's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 21, 2025, ending 3:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.75) back Sutton to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Sutton
35%
Draws
47%
West Brom U21
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: West Brom U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • West Brom U21 have won more games recently than Sutton.
  • Win probability leans West Brom U21's way, sitting at 50%.
  • West Brom U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sutton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sutton Clean Sheet 12%
West Brom U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sutton West Brom U21
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.46 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2025 National League Cup
Sutton vs West Brom U21
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sutton 22 / 100
West Brom U21 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sutton West Brom U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick West Brom U21 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Sutton found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

West Brom U21 let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Sutton remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sutton VS West Brom U21
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sutton

(Home)
09 Oct
Sutton
0 : 2
Boreham Wood
03 Oct
Kidderminster
1 : 1
Sutton
30 Sept
Tamworth
2 : 0
Sutton
26 Sept
Sutton
3 : 3
Forest Green
19 Sept
Halifax
1 : 1
Sutton
Page 1 of 6

West Brom U21

(Away)
09 Oct
Ipswich U21
2 : 2
West Brom U21
18 Sept
West Brom U21
1 : 3
Nottingham U21
08 Sept
Boston United
0 : 1
West Brom U21
04 Sept
Coventry U21
0 : 3
West Brom U21
31 Aug
Derby U21
4 : 4
West Brom U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Halifax 2 2 0 0 9:2 6
2 Scunthorpe 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 Wealdstone 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
4 Wolves U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
5 Derby U21 2 1 0 1 5:7 3
6 Nottingham U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
7 Gateshead 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
8 Stoke City U21 2 0 0 2 0:10 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U21 2 2 0 0 5:1 6
2 Norwich U21 2 2 0 0 2:1 5
3 Hornchurch 3 1 0 2 5:3 4
4 Braintree 2 1 0 1 3:2 4
5 Fulham U21 3 2 0 1 4:5 4
6 Ipswich U21 2 1 0 1 1:4 2
7 Worthing FC 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
8 Aldershot 2 0 0 2 2:5 1
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U21 3 3 0 0 16:2 9
2 Boreham Wood 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Tamworth 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
4 Everton U21 2 2 0 0 2:1 5
5 Solihull Moors 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
6 Leeds U21 3 1 0 2 5:8 3
7 Newcastle Utd U21 3 0 0 3 5:9 0
8 Hartlepool 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Truro 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Birmingham U21 2 2 0 0 4:3 5
3 West Brom U21 2 2 0 0 1:0 5
4 Woking 2 1 0 1 4:1 4
5 Sutton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
6 Leicester U21 2 0 0 2 1:4 1
7 Boston United 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
8 Southampton U21 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - National League Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)