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Suvorovo vs Kaliakra

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2018/2019
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2018/2019 game between Suvorovo and Kaliakra finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Suvorovo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Suvorovo
15%
Draws
34%
Kaliakra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suvorovo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Suvorovo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Suvorovo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Suvorovo Clean Sheet 20%
Kaliakra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suvorovo Kaliakra
Matches Played 25 30
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 2.6 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.92 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.35 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2019 Third League - North-East
Suvorovo vs Kaliakra
4:0
Oct 7, 2018 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Suvorovo
0:2
May 5, 2018 Third League - North-East
Suvorovo vs Kaliakra
3:2
Nov 26, 2017 Third League - North-East
Suvorovo vs Kaliakra
0:1
Sep 9, 2017 Third League - North-East
Kaliakra vs Suvorovo
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suvorovo 36 / 100
Kaliakra 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suvorovo Kaliakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaliakra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kaliakra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Suvorovo's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Solid form: Suvorovo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Suvorovo VS -
3.5 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Suvorovo

(Home)
01 Mar
Suvorovo
3 : 2
Ustrem Donchevo
22 Feb
Dobrudzha
3 : 1
Suvorovo
07 Dec
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 0
Suvorovo
01 Dec
Suvorovo
2 : 1
Topolite
24 Nov
Chernolomets
1 : 3
Suvorovo
Page 1 of 5

Kaliakra

(Away)
29 May
Kubrat
3 : 2
Kaliakra
24 May
Kaliakra
2 : 3
Topolite
19 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
4 : 1
Kaliakra
12 May
Kaliakra
3 : 2
Volov Shumen
05 May
Ustrem Donchevo
0 : 2
Kaliakra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Varna 24 18 6 0 92:16 60
2 Suvorovo 24 18 3 3 72:16 57
3 Svetkavitsa 24 15 6 3 45:20 51
4 Hitrino 24 14 5 5 46:20 47
5 Septemvri Tervel 24 13 4 7 46:32 43
6 Botev Novi Pazar 24 12 3 9 35:46 39
7 Lokomotiv Ruse 24 9 5 10 29:37 32
8 Topolite 24 7 6 11 25:31 27
9 Kubrat 24 6 5 13 32:35 23
10 Kaliakra 24 5 4 15 28:44 19
11 Benkovski Byala 24 4 4 16 18:62 16
12 Ustrem Donchevo 24 4 2 18 19:71 14
13 Volov Shumen 24 2 5 17 17:74 11
Promotion - Third League - North-East 2018/2019 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Third League - North-East 2018/2019 (Relegation Group)