Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suwalki vs Jagiellonia II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski w Suwałkach
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Pajnowski K.

AI Match Summary

Suwalki in this III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Suwalki
6%
Draws
4%
Jagiellonia II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Suwalki have won more games recently than Jagiellonia II.
  • Win probability leans Suwalki's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group I 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 20%
Jagiellonia II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwalki Jagiellonia II
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 19 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 2 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Jagiellonia II
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Suwalki
3:1
May 11, 2025 III Liga - Group I
Jagiellonia II vs Suwalki
1:0
Feb 8, 2025 Club Friendly
Jagiellonia II vs Suwalki
2:2
Oct 13, 2024 III Liga - Group I
Suwalki vs Jagiellonia II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Pajnowski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Jagiellonia II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwalki 85 / 100
Jagiellonia II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwalki Jagiellonia II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WIG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Suwalki's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Jagiellonia II has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Suwalki went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Suwalki VS Jagiellonia II
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Legia II34273482:2984
2LKS Lomza34225777:3171
3Warta Sieradz34218564:3471
4Suwalki34205964:4365
5Troszyn341761175:4757
6Plock II341681056:5156
7Widzew Lodz II341731470:6454
8Jagiellonia II341471346:4549
9Tomaszow Mazowiecki341381364:5547
10Zabkovia Zabki341351672:6444
11Swit Mazowiecki341251751:6641
12MKS Mlawa341171655:5940
13Olimpia Elblag341081645:6138
14GKS Wikielec341071740:5437
15Bron Radom34991640:5736
16GKS Belchatow34971850:7634
17Wasilkow34742340:7925
18Znicz Biala Piska34432727:10315