Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Suwon Bluewings vs Busan

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Suwon World Cup Stadium, Suwon
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Kang Hyun-Muk
31'
Jang Ho-Ik
34' Event
Kim Do-yeon
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Suwon Bluewings in this K League 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwon Bluewings.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Suwon Bluewings
20%
Draws
19%
Busan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suwon Bluewings

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Suwon Bluewings lately — more wins on the board than Busan.
  • Win probability leans Suwon Bluewings's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Suwon Bluewings Clean Sheet 68%
Busan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwon Bluewings Busan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.4 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 K League 2
Busan vs Suwon Bluewings
1:4
Apr 25, 2026 K League 2
Suwon Bluewings vs Busan
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Suwon Bluewings
1:0
Jun 29, 2025 K League 2
Suwon Bluewings vs Busan
1:1
May 17, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Suwon Bluewings
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwon Bluewings Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang Hyun-Muk
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Hee-Seung
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwon Bluewings 95 / 100
Busan 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwon Bluewings Busan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwon Bluewings Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suwon Bluewings scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Solid form: Suwon Bluewings remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Busan has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Suwon Bluewings VS Busan
2 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Suwon Bluewings

(Home)
12 Sept
Seoul E-Land
0 : 1
Suwon Bluewings
06 Sept
Suwon Bluewings
2 : 0
Chungnam Asan
29 Aug
Gimpo FC
1 : 4
Suwon Bluewings
22 Aug
Cheonan City
0 : 1
Suwon Bluewings
15 Aug
Suwon Bluewings
2 : 2
Suwon FC
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Busan

(Away)
19 Sept
Gimpo FC
1 : 0
Busan
13 Sept
Busan
2 : 0
Gimhae
05 Sept
Busan
0 : 1
Ansan Greeners
30 Aug
Suwon FC
2 : 1
Busan
22 Aug
Daegu
1 : 1
Busan
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Suwon Bluewings 25 16 5 4 39:20 53
2 Suwon FC 25 13 9 3 50:29 48
3 Seoul E-Land 26 14 6 6 45:30 48
4 Daegu 26 13 7 6 48:35 46
5 Hwaseong 26 12 8 6 41:27 44
6 Busan 26 12 5 9 41:34 41
7 Gimpo FC 25 8 11 6 31:30 35
8 Chungnam Asan 25 9 7 9 34:31 34
9 Gyeongnam 25 8 10 7 31:30 34
10 Seongnam 25 7 10 8 28:30 31
11 Cheongju 26 5 14 7 31:41 29
12 Paju Frontier 25 8 5 12 24:28 29
13 Yongin FC 25 5 12 8 31:35 27
14 Cheonan City 26 4 11 11 30:37 23
15 Ansan Greeners 26 6 4 16 27:49 22
16 Jeonnam 25 4 9 12 28:43 21
17 Gimhae 25 2 7 16 19:49 13
Promotion - K League 1 2027 (Main)
Promotion - K League 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - K League 2 (Relegation)