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Suwon Bluewings vs Busan

South Korea South Korea

K League 2 Suwon World Cup Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Kang Hyun-Muk
31'
Jang Ho-Ik
34' Event
Kim Do-yeon
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Suwon Bluewings in this K League 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwon Bluewings.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Suwon Bluewings
33%
Draws
40%
Busan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Busan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Busan at 2.13 per game, Suwon Bluewings at 1.5.
  • Win probability leans Busan's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular K League 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Suwon Bluewings Clean Sheet 13%
Busan Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suwon Bluewings Busan
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.5 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 K League 2
Suwon Bluewings vs Busan
3:2
Sep 6, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Suwon Bluewings
1:0
Jun 29, 2025 K League 2
Suwon Bluewings vs Busan
1:1
May 17, 2025 K League 2
Busan vs Suwon Bluewings
1:4
Sep 25, 2024 K League 2
Suwon Bluewings vs Busan
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suwon Bluewings Compare

Top Goalscorer Kang Hyun-Muk
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Busan Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Hee-Seung
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suwon Bluewings 27 / 100
Busan 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suwon Bluewings Busan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Suwon Bluewings scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Busan let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Suwon Bluewings has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Suwon Bluewings VS Busan
1.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Busan16113235:2036
2Suwon Bluewings16102422:1432
3Daegu1694335:2231
4Suwon FC1685334:2129
5Seoul E-Land1692528:1929
6Hwaseong1674523:1925
7Chungnam Asan1666424:1924
8Gimpo FC1666419:1824
9Gyeongnam1655620:2520
10Cheonan City1647519:1919
11Yongin FC1638520:2317
12Paju Frontier1652917:2217
13Seongnam1638516:1817
14Cheongju16111419:2714
15Ansan Greeners16421017:2914
16Jeonnam1616918:319
17Gimhae16231113:339