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Suzhou Dongwu vs Changchun Yatai - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Suzhou Sports Centre, Suzhou
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Match Events

7'
Sub
Salazar J. In: Sun Xipeng
Out: Salazar J.
19'
Gao D.
46'
Sub
Arafat Ghenifa In: Ali M.
Out: Arafat Ghenifa

AI Match Summary

Suzhou Dongwu in this League One matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suzhou Dongwu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Suzhou Dongwu
35%
Draws
27%
Changchun Yatai
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Suzhou Dongwu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Changchun Yatai have won more games recently than Suzhou Dongwu.
  • Model gives Suzhou Dongwu a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Suzhou Dongwu Clean Sheet 68%
Changchun Yatai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Suzhou Dongwu Changchun Yatai
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 10
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 League One
Suzhou Dongwu vs Changchun Yatai
2:1
Apr 5, 2026 League One
Changchun Yatai vs Suzhou Dongwu
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Suzhou Dongwu Compare

Top Goalscorer Bugiel O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Estrela
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Changchun Yatai Compare

Top Goalscorer Tan Long
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Suzhou Dongwu 59 / 100
Changchun Yatai 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Suzhou Dongwu Changchun Yatai

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suzhou Dongwu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Changchun Yatai conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Suzhou Dongwu remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Suzhou Dongwu found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Suzhou Dongwu VS Changchun Yatai
2.13 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Suzhou Dongwu

(Home)
06 Oct
Wuxi Wugou
2 : 2
Suzhou Dongwu
19 Sept
Shaanxi Union
2 : 2
Suzhou Dongwu
12 Sept
Suzhou Dongwu
3 : 2
Foshan Nanshi
06 Sept
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 0
Nanjing City
29 Aug
Dingnan Ganlian
3 : 4
Suzhou Dongwu
Page 1 of 6

Changchun Yatai

(Away)
06 Oct
Changchun Yatai
1 : 1
Yanbian Longding
26 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
2 : 0
Changchun Yatai
19 Sept
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 1
Changchun Yatai
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0
Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Changchun Yatai
2 : 0
Ningbo Professional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 25 12 9 4 34:20 45
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 25 11 6 8 42:27 39
6 Yanbian Longding 25 9 9 7 34:28 36
7 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 25 9 7 9 23:25 34
8 Wuxi Wugou 25 9 6 10 38:31 33
9 Changchun Yatai 25 10 4 11 38:41 30
10 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
11 Dalian Kun City 25 7 8 10 30:37 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 25 7 9 9 30:35 27
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 25 7 4 14 25:50 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 25 3 7 15 25:49 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)