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SV Burmoos vs Schwarzach

Austria Austria

Salzburg
Sat, Sep 26, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Burmoos host Schwarzach in the Salzburg. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Schwarzach have shipped 2.55 goals a game lately, while SV Burmoos have conceded 0.87 and scored 2.37. Past meetings favor SV Burmoos slightly — 3-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 8, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (2.63 - 0.63) back SV Burmoos to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
SV Burmoos
15%
Draws
14%
Schwarzach
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SV Burmoos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SV Burmoos lately — more wins on the board than Schwarzach.
  • Win probability leans SV Burmoos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors SV Burmoos here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
SV Burmoos Clean Sheet 20%
Schwarzach Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Burmoos Schwarzach
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 22 7
Draws 4 1
Losses 4 21
Goals Scored 2.37 1.24
Goals Conceded 0.87 2.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Salzburg
Schwarzach vs SV Burmoos
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Salzburg
SV Burmoos vs Schwarzach
0:1
May 13, 2023 Salzburg
SV Burmoos vs Schwarzach
4:1
Sep 30, 2022 Salzburg
Schwarzach vs SV Burmoos
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Burmoos 85 / 100
Schwarzach 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Burmoos Schwarzach

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Burmoos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Burmoos scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Schwarzach conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: SV Burmoos remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

SV Burmoos VS Schwarzach
2.63 Goals Scored 0.88
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Burmoos

(Home)
13 Sept
SV Burmoos
3 : 1
Union Henndorf
04 Sept
Eugendorf
0 : 1
SV Burmoos
29 Aug
SV Burmoos
2 : 0
UFV Thalgau
21 Aug
SAK 1914
1 : 2
SV Burmoos
15 Aug
SV Burmoos
2 : 0
Neumarkt
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Schwarzach

(Away)
18 Sept
Schwarzach
0 : 4
Strasswalchen
13 Sept
UFC Siezenheim
2 : 1
Schwarzach
04 Sept
Schwarzach
3 : 2
USV 1960 Berndorf
29 Aug
Seekirchen U21
5 : 0
Schwarzach
21 Aug
Schwarzach
1 : 3
Puch
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