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SV Erlbach vs Deisenhofen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd game between SV Erlbach and Deisenhofen finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Erlbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
SV Erlbach
30%
Draws
19%
Deisenhofen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • SV Erlbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SV Erlbach's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 20%
Deisenhofen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Erlbach Deisenhofen
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Deisenhofen
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Deisenhofen vs SV Erlbach
2:1
Jul 25, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Deisenhofen
0:0
Mar 28, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Deisenhofen
4:2
Sep 7, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Deisenhofen vs SV Erlbach
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Erlbach 76 / 100
Deisenhofen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Erlbach Deisenhofen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Erlbach has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

SV Erlbach found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Deisenhofen conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

SV Erlbach VS Deisenhofen
1 Goals Scored 1.63
0.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
38% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Erlbach

(Home)
09 Oct
SV Erlbach
3 : 1
Geretsried
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
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Deisenhofen

(Away)
03 Oct
Pfaffenhofen
4 : 2
Deisenhofen
26 Sept
Deisenhofen
0 : 2
Schalding
19 Sept
TSV Schwabmunchen
3 : 3
Deisenhofen
12 Sept
Deisenhofen
4 : 0
Geretsried
04 Sept
Heimstetten
4 : 2
Deisenhofen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 14 10 2 2 40:17 32
2 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 14 9 1 4 33:23 28
3 SV Erlbach 14 7 5 2 18:7 26
4 Landshut 13 7 4 2 26:14 25
5 Pfaffenhofen 14 6 5 3 25:24 23
6 Hankofen-Hailing 13 6 4 3 23:17 22
7 FC Schwaig 13 4 8 1 25:15 20
8 Ismaning 13 5 2 6 26:19 17
9 Heimstetten 13 4 5 4 23:24 17
10 Munich 1860 II 13 4 4 5 28:27 16
11 Kottern-St. Mang 13 4 3 6 12:18 15
12 Gundelfingen 13 3 5 5 17:22 14
13 TSV Schwabmunchen 13 3 4 6 25:27 13
14 Deisenhofen 13 3 4 6 19:28 13
15 Kirchanschoring 13 3 3 7 17:29 12
16 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 14 2 5 7 17:27 11
17 Geretsried 14 3 2 9 14:30 11
18 Schalding 13 2 4 7 18:38 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)