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SV Erlbach vs Illertissen II - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

SV Erlbach in this Oberliga Bayern Süd 2014/2015 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
SV Erlbach
22%
Draws
25%
Illertissen II
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • SV Erlbach have won more games recently than Illertissen II.
  • Model gives SV Erlbach a 53% chance of winning this.
  • SV Erlbach have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor SV Erlbach, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 20%
Illertissen II Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Erlbach Illertissen II
Matches Played 31 4
Wins 15 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 9 3
Goals Scored 1.35 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Illertissen II
1:0
Jun 2, 2015 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Illertissen II vs SV Erlbach
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Erlbach 67 / 100
Illertissen II 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Erlbach Illertissen II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Erlbach Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Erlbach's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Defensive concern: Illertissen II conceded in 75% of 4 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

SV Erlbach has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SV Erlbach VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Erlbach

(Home)
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
04 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 0
SV Erlbach
Page 1 of 7

Illertissen II

(Away)
07 Jun
SV Erlbach
1 : 0
Illertissen II
02 Jun
Illertissen II
0 : 2
SV Erlbach
30 May
Raisting
2 : 1
Illertissen II
27 May
Illertissen II
2 : 0
Raisting

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
1. FC Sand 4
Erlangen 0
Neudrossenfeld 3
Selbitz 3
Burglengenfeld 3
DJK Ammerthal 1
Ansbach 1
Bad Kotzting 3
Illertissen II 3
Raisting 2
Landshut 0
SV Erlbach 2
Final
1. FC Sand 7
Selbitz 1
Burglengenfeld 4
Bad Kotzting 2
Illertissen II 0
SV Erlbach 3