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SV Erlbach vs Ismaning - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd game between SV Erlbach and Ismaning finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Erlbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
SV Erlbach
30%
Draws
33%
Ismaning
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Ismaning haven't matched SV Erlbach's recent run of results.
  • Model gives SV Erlbach a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 19%
Ismaning Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Erlbach Ismaning
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.32 1.76
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Ismaning
2:0
Apr 2, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Ismaning
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ismaning vs SV Erlbach
3:1
Nov 16, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ismaning vs SV Erlbach
1:1
Aug 2, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Ismaning
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Erlbach 42 / 100
Ismaning 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Erlbach Ismaning

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Erlbach found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Ismaning let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: SV Erlbach stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SV Erlbach VS Ismaning
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Erlbach

(Home)
03 Oct
Heimstetten
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
25 Sept
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Pipinsried
18 Sept
Munich 1860 II
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
11 Sept
SV Erlbach
3 : 0
Kottern-St. Mang
04 Sept
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
1 : 0
SV Erlbach
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Ismaning

(Away)
03 Oct
Pipinsried
2 : 1
Ismaning
26 Sept
Ismaning
5 : 2
Munich 1860 II
19 Sept
Kottern-St. Mang
1 : 0
Ismaning
12 Sept
Ismaning
4 : 2
TSV 1860 Rosenheim
03 Sept
FC Schwaig
2 : 2
Ismaning
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pipinsried 13 9 2 2 37:17 29
2 Landshut 13 7 4 2 26:14 25
3 TSV 1880 Wasserburg 13 8 1 4 31:22 25
4 SV Erlbach 13 6 5 2 15:6 23
5 Pfaffenhofen 13 6 5 2 24:22 23
6 Hankofen-Hailing 13 6 4 3 23:17 22
7 FC Schwaig 13 4 8 1 25:15 20
8 Ismaning 13 5 2 6 26:19 17
9 Heimstetten 13 4 5 4 23:24 17
10 Munich 1860 II 13 4 4 5 28:27 16
11 Kottern-St. Mang 13 4 3 6 12:18 15
12 Gundelfingen 13 3 5 5 17:22 14
13 TSV Schwabmunchen 13 3 4 6 25:27 13
14 Deisenhofen 13 3 4 6 19:28 13
15 Kirchanschoring 13 3 3 7 17:29 12
16 TSV 1860 Rosenheim 13 2 5 6 17:24 11
17 Geretsried 13 3 2 8 13:27 11
18 Schalding 13 2 4 7 18:38 10
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord (Relegation)