Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SV Erlbach vs Ismaning

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Süd 2025/2026 game between SV Erlbach and Ismaning finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Erlbach.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
SV Erlbach
30%
Draws
28%
Ismaning
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SV Erlbach

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • SV Erlbach carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SV Erlbach's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
SV Erlbach Clean Sheet 20%
Ismaning Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Erlbach Ismaning
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.68
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Ismaning
2:0
Apr 2, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Ismaning
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ismaning vs SV Erlbach
3:1
Nov 16, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
Ismaning vs SV Erlbach
1:1
Aug 2, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Süd
SV Erlbach vs Ismaning
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Erlbach 36 / 100
Ismaning 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Erlbach Ismaning

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ismaning conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

SV Erlbach went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

SV Erlbach scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

SV Erlbach VS Ismaning
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Erlbach

(Home)
28 Aug
SV Erlbach
2 : 0
Ismaning
23 Aug
FC Schwaig
0 : 0
SV Erlbach
18 Aug
Kirchanschoring
0 : 1
SV Erlbach
14 Aug
SV Erlbach
1 : 1
Gundelfingen
07 Aug
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
2 : 2
SV Erlbach
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Ismaning

(Away)
28 Aug
SV Erlbach
2 : 0
Ismaning
22 Aug
Ismaning
4 : 0
Kirchanschoring
18 Aug
Gundelfingen
0 : 5
Ismaning
14 Aug
Ismaning
2 : 3
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
08 Aug
Deisenhofen
2 : 0
Ismaning
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Munich 1860 II 32 21 5 6 74:26 68
2 Landsberg 32 18 11 3 79:43 65
3 Kirchanschoring 32 16 10 6 67:35 58
4 Gundelfingen 32 16 7 9 51:33 55
5 SV Erlbach 32 16 5 11 42:35 53
6 Pipinsried 32 15 7 10 58:37 52
7 Heimstetten 32 14 9 9 64:46 51
8 Deisenhofen 32 13 10 9 44:47 49
9 FC Schwaig 32 12 9 11 48:44 45
10 Geretsried 32 12 8 12 49:46 44
11 Nordlingen 32 11 11 10 58:58 44
12 Ismaning 32 11 9 12 50:58 42
13 Schalding 32 9 11 12 43:50 38
14 Kottern-St. Mang 32 9 6 17 40:57 33
15 FC Sturm Hauzenberg 32 6 5 21 24:64 23
16 Turkspor Augsburg 32 4 5 23 28:83 17
17 Turkgucu Munchen 32 3 4 25 21:78 13
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)