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SV Merseburg 99 vs Barleben - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Barleben in this Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Barleben.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
SV Merseburg 99
30%
Draws
62%
Barleben
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Barleben

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Barleben have won more games recently than SV Merseburg 99.
  • 62% — that's where the model lands on Barleben taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
SV Merseburg 99 Clean Sheet 10%
Barleben Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Merseburg 99 Barleben
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 2 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 22 15
Goals Scored 0.97 1.17
Goals Conceded 3 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2018 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
SV Merseburg 99 vs Barleben
0:3
Aug 5, 2017 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Barleben vs SV Merseburg 99
0:0
Apr 2, 2017 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
SV Merseburg 99 vs Barleben
2:1
Sep 24, 2016 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Barleben vs SV Merseburg 99
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Merseburg 99 10 / 100
Barleben 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Merseburg 99 Barleben

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Barleben Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barleben let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: SV Merseburg 99 scored in 47% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: SV Merseburg 99 remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SV Merseburg 99 VS Barleben
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
3.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Merseburg 99

(Home)
03 Jun
Einheit Kamenz
13 : 0
SV Merseburg 99
27 May
SV Merseburg 99
1 : 6
Krieschow
24 May
Stendal
4 : 0
SV Merseburg 99
13 May
SV Merseburg 99
3 : 3
Bernburg
10 May
SV Merseburg 99
0 : 3
Barleben
Page 1 of 6

Barleben

(Away)
03 Jun
Barleben
1 : 1
Eilenburg
27 May
Wismut Gera
1 : 3
Barleben
20 May
Barleben
4 : 4
Plauen
12 May
Inter Leipzig
2 : 1
Barleben
10 May
SV Merseburg 99
0 : 3
Barleben
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bischofswerdaer 30 23 5 2 70:16 74
2 Inter Leipzig 30 20 2 8 59:21 62
3 Jena II 30 17 9 4 67:39 60
4 Plauen 30 17 4 9 55:53 55
5 Eilenburg 30 14 8 8 50:32 50
6 Bernburg 30 13 8 9 59:38 47
7 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 14 4 12 56:43 46
8 Krieschow 30 12 3 15 61:64 39
9 Halle 30 10 7 13 28:39 37
10 Sandersdorf 30 10 6 14 54:54 36
11 Wismut Gera 30 9 7 14 41:54 34
12 Stendal 30 8 9 13 36:54 33
13 Barleben 30 9 6 15 35:54 33
14 Schott Jena 30 9 6 15 29:61 33
15 Einheit Kamenz 30 6 4 20 34:51 22
16 SV Merseburg 99 30 2 6 22 29:90 12
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2018/2019 (Main)