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SV Poortugaal vs Groene Ster - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Netherlands Netherlands

Derde Divisie
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Poortugaal host Groene Ster in the Derde Divisie. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. SV Poortugaal have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.95 conceded recently, against Groene Ster's 1.33 scored and 2.33 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.81 - 1.75) back SV Poortugaal to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
SV Poortugaal
15%
Draws
21%
Groene Ster
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SV Poortugaal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Groene Ster lately — more wins on the board than SV Poortugaal.
  • Model gives SV Poortugaal a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Derde Divisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
SV Poortugaal Clean Sheet 12%
Groene Ster Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Poortugaal Groene Ster
Matches Played 19 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.47 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.95 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Poortugaal 83 / 100
Groene Ster 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Poortugaal Groene Ster

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Poortugaal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Groene Ster conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: SV Poortugaal scored in 74% of their last 19 outings.

SV Poortugaal has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Groene Ster has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SV Poortugaal VS Groene Ster
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Poortugaal

(Home)
24 Oct
RKSV UDI 19
2 : 3
SV Poortugaal
17 Oct
Blauw Geel
1 : 3
SV Poortugaal
10 Oct
SV Poortugaal
1 : 0
UNA
03 Oct
Dongen
4 : 0
SV Poortugaal
26 Sept
SV Poortugaal
0 : 3
GOES
Page 1 of 4

Groene Ster

(Away)
18 Oct
Dongen
3 : 0
Groene Ster
11 Oct
Groene Ster
2 : 1
GOES
03 Oct
Rijnvogels
5 : 1
Groene Ster
27 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 2
Gemert
22 Sept
Groene Ster
1 : 6
AFC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Harkemase Boys 11 8 2 1 24:14 26
2 ACV Assen 11 7 3 1 27:11 24
3 VV Scherpenzeel 10 7 2 1 18:10 23
4 Excelsior 31 11 7 1 3 28:13 22
5 Genemuiden 11 7 1 3 24:17 22
6 TEC 10 6 2 2 29:17 20
7 Sportlust 11 5 4 2 19:17 19
8 Purmersteijn 10 5 3 2 19:12 18
9 Sparta Nijkerk 11 5 2 4 24:21 17
10 ADO 20 Heemskerk 11 4 2 5 21:23 14
11 VV Hoogeveen 11 4 1 6 24:25 13
12 USV Hercules 11 4 1 6 16:23 13
13 Eemdijk 10 3 1 6 16:29 10
14 DVS '33 Ermelo 11 2 3 6 17:22 9
15 Staphorst 11 2 3 6 17:25 9
16 VV DOVO 11 1 3 7 13:26 6
17 HVV Hollandia 9 1 1 7 16:27 4
18 SVZW Wierden 11 0 1 10 12:32 1
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 VV Noordwijk 11 9 1 1 25:4 28
2 Lisse 11 9 1 1 26:8 28
3 Excelsior Maassluis 11 8 2 1 22:7 26
4 Rijnvogels 11 7 2 2 29:13 23
5 RKSV UDI 19 11 6 2 3 22:12 20
6 VV Zwaluwen 11 6 1 4 15:16 19
7 SV Poortugaal 11 6 0 5 15:16 18
8 Dongen 11 5 1 5 24:25 16
9 GOES 11 4 2 5 21:28 14
10 Gemert 10 3 4 3 14:17 13
11 Blauw Geel 11 3 3 5 15:17 12
12 TOGB 11 3 3 5 19:25 12
13 Roosendaal 10 3 1 6 18:23 10
14 Groene Ster 10 2 3 5 14:24 9
15 UNA 10 1 5 4 12:16 8
16 VVSB 11 2 2 7 15:25 8
17 Achilles Veen 11 2 0 9 9:26 6
18 EVV 11 0 3 8 11:24 3
Promotion - Tweede Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Tweede Divisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Derde Divisie (Relegation)