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SV Saestum W vs Sittard W Prediction & H2H Stats

Netherlands Netherlands

KNVB Beker Women 2024/2025 Sportpark Saestum, Zeist
Sat, Mar 15, 2025
3 - 2
02:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
van Otterloo S.
Assist: van de Haar J.
46'
Sub
Eijken L. In: Peereboom S.
Out: Eijken L.
56'
Sub
Vermeer S. R. In: Robichon M.
Out: Vermeer S. R.

AI Match Summary

SV Saestum W in this KNVB Beker Women 2024/2025 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
SV Saestum W
15%
Draws
46%
Sittard W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sittard W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Sittard W have won more games recently than SV Saestum W.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Sittard W taking it.
  • Sittard W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor SV Saestum W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
SV Saestum W Clean Sheet 16%
Sittard W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Saestum W Sittard W
Matches Played 13 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 1 6
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 1.46 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.15 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 KNVB Beker Women
SV Saestum W vs Sittard W
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SV Saestum W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Otterloo S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wenno M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Sittard W Compare

Top Goalscorer van Koot M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Saestum W 23 / 100
Sittard W 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Saestum W Sittard W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sittard W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Sittard W conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: SV Saestum W scored in 54% of their last 13 outings.

Recent resilience: SV Saestum W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SV Saestum W VS Sittard W
2 Goals Scored 0.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Saestum W

(Home)
19 Aug
SV Saestum W
1 : 2
SBV Excelsior W
12 Apr
SV Saestum W
1 : 5
Twente W
15 Mar
SV Saestum W
3 : 2
Sittard W
15 Feb
NAC Breda W
1 : 3
SV Saestum W
23 Aug
Feyenoord W
4 : 0
SV Saestum W
Page 1 of 3

Sittard W

(Away)
16 May
Den Haag W
2 : 0
Sittard W
03 May
Sittard W
0 : 3
PSV W
19 Apr
Sittard W
5 : 0
Telstar W
29 Mar
Feyenoord W
1 : 2
Sittard W
23 Mar
Sittard W
0 : 0
SBV Excelsior W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
NAC Breda W 1
SV Saestum W 3
Sittard W 3
Ter Leede W 0
Ajax W 0
Twente W 2
Den Haag W 5
Telstar W 0
Heerenveen W 2
PEC Zwolle W 1
SBV Excelsior W 2
Feyenoord W 4
AZ Alkmaar W 2
Utrecht W 1
Jong PSV W 0
PSV W 7
Quarter-finals
SV Saestum W 3
Sittard W 2
Twente W 1
Den Haag W 0
Heerenveen W 0
Feyenoord W 3
AZ Alkmaar W 1
PSV W 2
Semi-finals
SV Saestum W 1
Twente W 5
Feyenoord W 0
PSV W 3
Final
Twente W 2
PSV W 1