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SV Spittal vs TSV Grafenstein

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Spittal in this Karnten 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SV Spittal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
SV Spittal
20%
Draws
52%
TSV Grafenstein
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: TSV Grafenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • TSV Grafenstein have won more games recently than SV Spittal.
  • Model gives TSV Grafenstein a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
SV Spittal Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Spittal TSV Grafenstein
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.34 2.21
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Karnten
SV Spittal vs TSV Grafenstein
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 Karnten
SV Spittal vs TSV Grafenstein
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs SV Spittal
2:1
Feb 28, 2025 Club Friendly
SV Spittal vs TSV Grafenstein
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Spittal 10 / 100
TSV Grafenstein 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Spittal TSV Grafenstein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Grafenstein Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: SV Spittal scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: TSV Grafenstein conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

SV Spittal went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SV Spittal VS TSV Grafenstein
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Spittal

(Home)
18 Sept
SV Spittal
0 : 3
SC St. Veit
13 Sept
Seeboden
2 : 5
SV Spittal
04 Sept
SV Spittal
3 : 0
Launsdorf
29 Aug
SC Landskron
2 : 0
SV Spittal
21 Aug
SV Spittal
2 : 2
Matrei
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TSV Grafenstein

(Away)
18 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
6 : 2
Saint Michael Lavanttal
13 Sept
SC Landskron
1 : 4
TSV Grafenstein
04 Sept
TSV Grafenstein
4 : 1
Nussdorf
28 Aug
Matrei
2 : 2
TSV Grafenstein
23 Aug
TSV Grafenstein
1 : 0
SAK Klagenfurt
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