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SV Spittal vs TSV Grafenstein

Austria Austria

Karnten 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Spittal in this Karnten 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SV Spittal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
SV Spittal
6%
Draws
90%
TSV Grafenstein
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: TSV Grafenstein

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • TSV Grafenstein have won more games recently than SV Spittal.
  • Model gives TSV Grafenstein a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and SV Spittal have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
SV Spittal Clean Sheet 10%
TSV Grafenstein Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Spittal TSV Grafenstein
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Karnten
SV Spittal vs TSV Grafenstein
2:1
Aug 22, 2025 Karnten
TSV Grafenstein vs SV Spittal
2:1
Feb 28, 2025 Club Friendly
SV Spittal vs TSV Grafenstein
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Spittal 10 / 100
TSV Grafenstein 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Spittal TSV Grafenstein

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TSV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

TSV Grafenstein has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

SV Spittal scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Solid form: SV Spittal remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SV Spittal VS TSV Grafenstein
1 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Spittal

(Home)
03 Jun
SV Spittal
4 : 1
KAC 1909
29 May
Donau Klagenfurt
2 : 0
SV Spittal
22 May
SV Spittal
0 : 4
Lendorf
17 May
Asko Kottmannsdorf
0 : 0
SV Spittal
13 May
SV Spittal
2 : 2
SAK Klagenfurt
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TSV Grafenstein

(Away)
10 Jul
Treibach
1 : 6
TSV Grafenstein
03 Jun
TSV Grafenstein
3 : 2
Dellach/Gail
29 May
Volkermarkt
5 : 3
TSV Grafenstein
23 May
TSV Grafenstein
5 : 0
Atus Ferlach
16 May
Matrei
1 : 3
TSV Grafenstein
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