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SV Steinbach vs VfB Marburg Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Starostzik H.

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 game between SV Steinbach and VfB Marburg finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward VfB Marburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
SV Steinbach
15%
Draws
85%
VfB Marburg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: VfB Marburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and VfB Marburg come out ahead of SV Steinbach on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans VfB Marburg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
SV Steinbach Clean Sheet 10%
VfB Marburg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Steinbach VfB Marburg
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 6 15
Draws 7 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2025 Oberliga Hessen
SV Steinbach vs VfB Marburg
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs SV Steinbach
0:0
Mar 30, 2024 Oberliga Hessen
VfB Marburg vs SV Steinbach
1:1
Oct 3, 2023 Oberliga Hessen
SV Steinbach vs VfB Marburg
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SV Steinbach Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

VfB Marburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Starostzik H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Steinbach 10 / 100
VfB Marburg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Steinbach VfB Marburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VfB Marburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Steinbach's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

VfB Marburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.25 goals per match.

VfB Marburg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SV Steinbach VS VfB Marburg
0 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Steinbach

(Home)
28 Jun
Fulda-Lehnerz
3 : 0
SV Steinbach
31 May
SV Steinbach
0 : 1
VfB Marburg
25 May
SV Steinbach
0 : 4
Alzenau
17 May
Darmstadt U21
7 : 0
SV Steinbach
10 May
SV Steinbach
1 : 7
Turk Gucu Friedberg
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VfB Marburg

(Away)
03 Oct
VfB Marburg
2 : 0
CSC 03 Kassel
27 Sept
RW Walldorf
1 : 0
VfB Marburg
19 Sept
VfB Marburg
1 : 2
Hummetroth
13 Sept
Eddersheim
4 : 2
VfB Marburg
09 Sept
Stadtallendorf
0 : 2
VfB Marburg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernwald 36 20 10 6 77:35 70
2 Alzenau 36 19 10 7 91:46 67
3 Turk Gucu Friedberg 36 18 11 7 83:54 65
4 RW Walldorf 36 20 6 10 77:49 65
5 Stadtallendorf 36 18 6 12 64:47 60
6 Darmstadt U21 36 18 5 13 69:38 59
7 Baunatal 36 17 7 12 67:55 57
8 Hunfelder 36 16 7 13 63:59 55
9 Eddersheim 36 14 13 9 74:65 55
10 Waldgirmes 36 14 8 14 66:71 50
11 Weidenhausen 36 12 11 13 66:63 47
12 Hanauer SC 36 14 5 17 70:71 47
13 Hanau 36 13 7 16 56:71 45
14 VfB Marburg 36 12 8 16 47:59 44
15 Unter-Flockenbach 36 10 11 15 62:89 41
16 Wolfhagen 36 10 8 18 52:66 38
17 SV Steinbach 36 8 9 19 42:83 32
18 Hornau 36 6 10 20 55:92 28
19 TSV Steinbach Haiger II 36 4 6 26 41:109 18
Promotion - Regionalliga Sudwest 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Oberliga Hessen 2024/2025 (Promotion)
Relegation - Oberliga Hessen 2023/2024 (Relegation)