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SV Tasmania Berlin vs Chemie Leipzig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Silic D.
16' Event
Sanogo M.
22' Event
Collins J.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga Nordost game between SV Tasmania Berlin and Chemie Leipzig finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemie Leipzig.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

8%
SV Tasmania Berlin
30%
Draws
62%
Chemie Leipzig
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chemie Leipzig

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • SV Tasmania Berlin's 2.14 goals per match outpaces what Chemie Leipzig have produced (1.47).
  • Model gives Chemie Leipzig a 62% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Chemie Leipzig have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
SV Tasmania Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Chemie Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Tasmania Berlin Chemie Leipzig
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.14 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
SV Tasmania Berlin vs Chemie Leipzig
2:5
Jan 30, 2022 Regionalliga Nordost
SV Tasmania Berlin vs Chemie Leipzig
0:1
Aug 7, 2021 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemie Leipzig vs SV Tasmania Berlin
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SV Tasmania Berlin Compare

Top Goalscorer Collins J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Berko E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Chemie Leipzig Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuhn P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Silic D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Tasmania Berlin 10 / 100
Chemie Leipzig 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Tasmania Berlin Chemie Leipzig

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemie Leipzig Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SV Tasmania Berlin scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Chemie Leipzig let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: SV Tasmania Berlin stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SV Tasmania Berlin VS Chemie Leipzig
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
3 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Tasmania Berlin

(Home)
25 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 5
Jena
19 Sept
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5
Chemie Leipzig
10 Sept
BFC Dynamo
3 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
02 Sept
Hallescher
2 : 0
SV Tasmania Berlin
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Chemie Leipzig

(Away)
27 Sept
Aue
1 : 2
Chemie Leipzig
20 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
1 : 3
Chemnitzer
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5
Chemie Leipzig
12 Sept
Chemie Leipzig
2 : 2
Zwickau
28 Aug
Altglienicke
1 : 1
Chemie Leipzig
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 11 8 3 0 36:11 27
2 Chemnitzer 11 8 2 1 25:5 26
3 Hallescher 11 6 4 1 18:9 22
4 BFC Dynamo 11 6 3 2 20:12 21
5 Altglienicke 11 6 3 2 20:14 21
6 Aue 11 6 3 2 20:16 21
7 Jena 11 6 1 4 19:10 19
8 Greifswalder FC 11 5 4 2 23:16 19
9 Lokomotive Leipzig 11 4 3 4 23:23 15
10 Zwickau 11 4 3 4 13:17 15
11 Magdeburg II 11 4 1 6 20:23 13
12 Babelsberg 11 3 3 5 14:17 12
13 BFC Preussen 11 2 4 5 14:17 10
14 Chemie Leipzig 11 2 3 6 12:17 9
15 Hertha Berlin II 11 2 3 6 9:21 9
16 Rsv Eintracht 11 1 3 7 13:29 6
17 SV Tasmania Berlin 11 1 2 8 13:36 5
18 Luckenwalde 11 1 0 10 9:28 3
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)