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SV Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Regionalliga Nordost
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Tasmania Berlin host Chemnitzer in the Regionalliga Nordost. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Chemnitzer have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while SV Tasmania Berlin have conceded 2.21 and scored 2.17. Past meetings favor Chemnitzer slightly — 0-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 15, 2022, ending 5:0. xG projections (1.06 - 2.44) back Chemnitzer to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
SV Tasmania Berlin
20%
Draws
47%
Chemnitzer
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Chemnitzer

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • SV Tasmania Berlin haven't matched Chemnitzer's recent run of results.
  • Chemnitzer are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
SV Tasmania Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Chemnitzer Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Tasmania Berlin Chemnitzer
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 2.17 2.1
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2022 Regionalliga Nordost
Chemnitzer vs SV Tasmania Berlin
5:0
Nov 28, 2021 Regionalliga Nordost
SV Tasmania Berlin vs Chemnitzer
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Tasmania Berlin 14 / 100
Chemnitzer 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Tasmania Berlin Chemnitzer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chemnitzer Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SV Tasmania Berlin scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Chemnitzer let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

SV Tasmania Berlin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SV Tasmania Berlin VS Chemnitzer
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Tasmania Berlin

(Home)
24 Oct
Rsv Eintracht
1 : 2
SV Tasmania Berlin
16 Oct
SV Tasmania Berlin
6 : 0
Babelsberg
09 Oct
Zwickau
2 : 0
SV Tasmania Berlin
25 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 5
Jena
19 Sept
BFC Preussen
1 : 1
SV Tasmania Berlin
Page 1 of 6

Chemnitzer

(Away)
24 Oct
Chemnitzer
1 : 2
Magdeburg II
18 Oct
BFC Dynamo
1 : 1
Chemnitzer
11 Oct
Chemnitzer
3 : 1
Erfurt
30 Sept
Chemnitzer
4 : 0
Rabenstein
26 Sept
Rsv Eintracht
0 : 4
Chemnitzer
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Erfurt 14 9 4 1 42:18 31
2 Chemnitzer 14 9 3 2 30:9 30
3 Hallescher 14 8 5 1 22:11 29
4 Altglienicke 14 8 3 3 26:17 27
5 Jena 14 8 2 4 23:12 26
6 BFC Dynamo 14 7 5 2 22:13 26
7 Aue 14 7 3 4 23:18 24
8 Greifswalder FC 14 6 4 4 28:23 22
9 Magdeburg II 14 6 1 7 27:28 19
10 Zwickau 14 5 4 5 17:22 19
11 Lokomotive Leipzig 14 4 6 4 27:27 18
12 Babelsberg 14 4 4 6 15:23 16
13 Chemie Leipzig 14 3 4 7 17:22 13
14 BFC Preussen 14 2 5 7 16:22 11
15 SV Tasmania Berlin 14 3 2 9 21:39 11
16 Hertha Berlin II 14 2 4 8 10:25 10
17 Rsv Eintracht 14 2 3 9 15:32 9
18 Luckenwalde 14 2 0 12 14:34 6
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)