Sport Picks
SV Tasmania Berlin vs Lokomotive Leipzig - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Germany
Regionalliga Nordost 
Match Events
6'
6'
Mensah S.
17'
17'
Abderrahmane F.
(Penalty)
20'
20'
Eder S.
AI Match Summary
Lokomotive Leipzig in this Regionalliga Nordost matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lokomotive Leipzig.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
12%
30%
58%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lokomotive Leipzig
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Lokomotive Leipzig haven't matched SV Tasmania Berlin's recent run of results.
- 58% — that's where the model lands on Lokomotive Leipzig taking it.
- Regular Regionalliga Nordost form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
- History favors Lokomotive Leipzig here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SV Tasmania Berlin Clean Sheet 10%
Lokomotive Leipzig Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SV Tasmania Berlin | Lokomotive Leipzig |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 13 | 10 |
| Draws | 2 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 2.07 | 1.74 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.24 | 1.67 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Regionalliga Nordost
SV Tasmania Berlin vs Lokomotive Leipzig
2:3
Apr 9, 2022 Regionalliga Nordost
SV Tasmania Berlin vs Lokomotive Leipzig
1:1
Oct 16, 2021 Regionalliga Nordost
Lokomotive Leipzig vs SV Tasmania Berlin
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SV Tasmania Berlin Compare
Top Goalscorer Mensah S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Beyazit A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91
Lokomotive Leipzig Compare
Top Goalscorer Kusic F.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ziane D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SV Tasmania Berlin 10 / 100
Lokomotive Leipzig 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SV Tasmania Berlin Lokomotive Leipzig
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lokomotive Leipzig Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lokomotive Leipzig let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.
SV Tasmania Berlin scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
SV Tasmania Berlin has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
SV Tasmania Berlin VS Lokomotive Leipzig
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
SV Tasmania Berlin
(Home) 09 Oct
Zwickau
2 : 0 SV Tasmania Berlin
25 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 5 Jena
19 Sept
BFC Preussen
1 : 1 SV Tasmania Berlin
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5 Chemie Leipzig
10 Sept
BFC Dynamo
3 : 1 SV Tasmania Berlin
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
1 : 5 Jena
16 Sept
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 5 Chemie Leipzig
30 Aug
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 2 Greifswalder FC
16 Aug
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
31 Jul
SV Tasmania Berlin
0 : 2 Aue
Page 1 of 3
Lokomotive Leipzig
(Away) 26 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
3 : 4 Erfurt
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2 Lokomotive Leipzig
16 Sept
Lokomotive Leipzig
2 : 2 BFC Dynamo
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
30 Aug
Lokomotive Leipzig
1 : 2 Aue
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Jena
1 : 2 Lokomotive Leipzig
13 Sept
Greifswalder FC
3 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
16 Aug
SV Tasmania Berlin
2 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
05 Aug
BFC Preussen
1 : 2 Lokomotive Leipzig
24 Jul
Luckenwalde
1 : 3 Lokomotive Leipzig
Page 1 of 2
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erfurt | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 36:11 | 27 |
| 2 | Chemnitzer | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25:5 | 26 |
| 3 | BFC Dynamo | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 21:12 | 24 |
| 4 | Hallescher | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 18:9 | 22 |
| 5 | Altglienicke | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20:15 | 21 |
| 6 | Aue | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:16 | 21 |
| 7 | Jena | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 19:10 | 19 |
| 8 | Greifswalder FC | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 23:16 | 19 |
| 9 | Zwickau | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15:17 | 18 |
| 10 | Lokomotive Leipzig | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 23:23 | 15 |
| 11 | Magdeburg II | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 20:23 | 13 |
| 12 | Babelsberg | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 13 | BFC Preussen | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Chemie Leipzig | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:20 | 9 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin II | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9:21 | 9 |
| 16 | Rsv Eintracht | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 13:29 | 6 |
| 17 | Luckenwalde | 12 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 12:29 | 6 |
| 18 | SV Tasmania Berlin | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13:38 | 5 |
Promotion - 3. Liga 2027/2028 (Main)
