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SV Trupial vs SV Dakota

Aruba Aruba

Division di Honor 2008/2009
SV Trupial Logo

SV Trupial

0 - 1
FT
SV Dakota Logo

SV Dakota

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Division di Honor 2008/2009 game between SV Trupial and SV Dakota finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Dakota.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
SV Trupial
15%
Draws
73%
SV Dakota
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SV Dakota

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • SV Dakota carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives SV Dakota a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
SV Trupial Clean Sheet 10%
SV Dakota Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Trupial SV Dakota
Matches Played 18 39
Wins 2 26
Draws 3 5
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 0.72 2.74
Goals Conceded 2.83 0.95
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2009 Division di Honor
SV Trupial vs SV Dakota
0:1
Sep 12, 2008 Division di Honor
SV Dakota vs SV Trupial
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Trupial 10 / 100
SV Dakota 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Trupial SV Dakota

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SV Dakota Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SV Dakota conceded in 67% of 39 recent games.

Away concern: SV Dakota has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

SV Trupial scored in 56% of their last 18 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS SV Dakota
0 Goals Scored 4.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Trupial

(Home)
19 Apr
River Plate
4 : 0
SV Trupial
08 Apr
SV Trupial
1 : 5
Britannia
04 Apr
SV Trupial
1 : 1
Estrella
21 Mar
La Fama
4 : 0
SV Trupial
07 Mar
SV Trupial
2 : 3
Jong Aruba
Page 1 of 4

SV Dakota

(Away)
16 Jun
SV Dakota
0 : 2
Sporting
11 Jun
La Fama
0 : 2
SV Dakota
30 May
SV Dakota
0 : 1
Britannia
24 May
Britannia
2 : 1
SV Dakota
17 May
SV Dakota
7 : 0
Sporting
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Britannia 18 13 1 4 59:16 40
2 Estrella 18 11 4 3 46:20 37
3 Racing Club Aruba 18 11 1 6 42:20 34
4 La Fama 18 9 5 4 36:18 32
5 River Plate 18 9 5 4 36:21 32
6 Deportivo Nacional 18 6 7 5 27:25 25
7 SV Dakota 18 5 6 7 26:33 21
8 Sport Boys 18 4 4 10 11:44 16
9 SV Trupial 18 2 3 13 13:51 9
10 Jong Aruba 18 1 2 15 17:65 5
Promotion - Division di Honor 2008/2009 (Winners stage)