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SV Worgl vs Kematen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Tirol Sportstadion Wörgl, Wörgl
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SV Worgl host Kematen in the Tirol. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: SV Worgl at 1.29 goals for, 2.45 against; Kematen at 2.09 for, 1.94 against. Head-to-head, SV Worgl have won 3 to Kematen's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 2.44, favoring Kematen. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SV Worgl
30%
Draws
47%
Kematen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kematen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Kematen have won more games recently than SV Worgl.
  • Kematen are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Tirol form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
SV Worgl Clean Sheet 10%
Kematen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Worgl Kematen
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 8 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.29 2.09
Goals Conceded 2.45 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Tirol
SV Worgl vs Kematen
2:1
Sep 26, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs SV Worgl
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs SV Worgl
2:0
Sep 6, 2024 Tirol
SV Worgl vs Kematen
1:0
May 29, 2024 Tirol
SV Worgl vs Kematen
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Worgl 14 / 100
Kematen 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Worgl Kematen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kematen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Worgl scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Kematen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

SV Worgl has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SV Worgl VS Kematen
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Worgl

(Home)
03 Oct
Innsbrucker AC
2 : 2
SV Worgl
25 Sept
SV Worgl
1 : 1
SV Haiming
18 Sept
SV Worgl
0 : 1
Stubai
12 Sept
SC Mils 05
1 : 1
SV Worgl
04 Sept
SV Worgl
4 : 1
Kolsass Weer
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Kematen

(Away)
03 Oct
Kematen
5 : 0
SC Mils 05
26 Sept
Kolsass Weer
1 : 3
Kematen
19 Sept
Kematen
3 : 0
SV Oberperfuss
12 Sept
FC Volders
1 : 0
Kematen
04 Sept
Kematen
1 : 0
Vols
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