Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SV Worgl vs Kematen

Austria Austria

Tirol 2025/2026 Sportstadion Wörgl, Wörgl
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tirol 2025/2026 game between SV Worgl and Kematen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Worgl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
SV Worgl
22%
Draws
60%
Kematen
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kematen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SV Worgl come out ahead of Kematen on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kematen a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tirol 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
SV Worgl Clean Sheet 10%
Kematen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Worgl Kematen
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 2 7
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.75 2.38
Goals Conceded 2.63 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.63 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Tirol
SV Worgl vs Kematen
2:1
Sep 26, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs SV Worgl
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs SV Worgl
2:0
Sep 6, 2024 Tirol
SV Worgl vs Kematen
1:0
May 29, 2024 Tirol
SV Worgl vs Kematen
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Worgl 18 / 100
Kematen 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Worgl Kematen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KEM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kematen let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

SV Worgl's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Away concern: Kematen has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SV Worgl VS Kematen
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Worgl

(Home)
18 Jul
SV Worgl
1 : 2
Kufstein
11 Jul
Schwaz
7 : 1
SV Worgl
02 Jul
SV Worgl
0 : 11
Polissya Zhytomyr
12 Jun
SV Worgl
3 : 1
SV Oberperfuss
07 Jun
SV Worgl
2 : 2
SC Kundl
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Kematen

(Away)
08 Jul
Kematen
0 : 6
SC Imst
11 Jun
Kematen
2 : 3
Motz/Silz
06 Jun
Fugen
6 : 1
Kematen
03 Jun
Kematen
4 : 1
Ebbs
30 May
Kematen
3 : 2
SC Mils 05
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