Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SV Worgl vs Kematen

Austria Austria

Tirol 2025/2026 Sportstadion Wörgl, Wörgl
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tirol 2025/2026 game between SV Worgl and Kematen finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SV Worgl.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SV Worgl
30%
Draws
47%
Kematen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kematen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kematen come out ahead of SV Worgl on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Tirol 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
SV Worgl Clean Sheet 10%
Kematen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SV Worgl Kematen
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.3 1.94
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Tirol
SV Worgl vs Kematen
2:1
Sep 26, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs SV Worgl
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Tirol
Kematen vs SV Worgl
2:0
Sep 6, 2024 Tirol
SV Worgl vs Kematen
1:0
May 29, 2024 Tirol
SV Worgl vs Kematen
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SV Worgl 34 / 100
Kematen 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SV Worgl Kematen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kematen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SV Worgl scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Kematen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 35 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Solid form: SV Worgl remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SV Worgl VS Kematen
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SV Worgl

(Home)
18 Sept
SV Worgl
0 : 1
Stubai
12 Sept
SC Mils 05
1 : 1
SV Worgl
04 Sept
SV Worgl
4 : 1
Kolsass Weer
28 Aug
SV Oberperfuss
3 : 3
SV Worgl
21 Aug
SV Worgl
0 : 1
FC Volders
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Kematen

(Away)
19 Sept
Kematen
3 : 0
SV Oberperfuss
12 Sept
FC Volders
1 : 0
Kematen
04 Sept
Kematen
1 : 0
Vols
30 Aug
Ebbs
1 : 2
Kematen
21 Aug
Kematen
5 : 5
FC Natters
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