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Svendborg vs Holbaek

Denmark Denmark

2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Bangsgaard F.
68' Event
N'Dong F.
90' Event
Schondorf S.

AI Match Summary

Svendborg in this 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Svendborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Svendborg
15%
Draws
54%
Holbaek
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Holbaek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Holbaek have won more games recently than Svendborg.
  • Holbaek are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular 2nd Division - Group 1 2016/2017 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Svendborg Clean Sheet 10%
Holbaek Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svendborg Holbaek
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 22
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 7
Goals Scored 1.03 2.3
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 5, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Svendborg vs Holbaek
2:1
Apr 9, 2017 2nd Division - Group 1
Holbaek vs Svendborg
1:0
Jun 18, 2016 2nd Division - Group 3
Holbaek vs Svendborg
1:2
Apr 23, 2016 2nd Division - Group 3
Svendborg vs Holbaek
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Svendborg Compare

Top Goalscorer N'Dong F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schondorf S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Holbaek Compare

Top Goalscorer Bangsgaard F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svendborg 10 / 100
Holbaek 75 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svendborg Holbaek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Holbaek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Svendborg scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Holbaek has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Svendborg has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Holbaek
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Svendborg

(Home)
17 Jun
Hellerup
2 : 2
Svendborg
10 Jun
Svendborg
2 : 5
Odder
05 Jun
Svendborg
2 : 1
Holbaek
01 Jun
Fredensborg
0 : 1
Svendborg
27 May
Svendborg
0 : 2
Vejgaard
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Holbaek

(Away)
18 Sept
Holbaek
5 : 2
Ringsted
13 Sept
Horsholm-Usserod
3 : 1
Holbaek
05 Sept
Ishoj IF
0 : 4
Holbaek
29 Aug
Holbaek
3 : 2
Naesby
21 Aug
Bronshoj
1 : 4
Holbaek
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