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Svetkavitsa vs Chernolomets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
Wed, Apr 29, 2026
0 - 3
01:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

Svetkavitsa host Chernolomets in the Third League - North-East 2025/2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Svetkavitsa at 0.2 goals for, 3.67 against; Chernolomets at 2.41 for, 1.31 against. Head-to-head, Svetkavitsa have won 0 to Chernolomets's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 29, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (1.54 - 2.38) back Chernolomets to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Svetkavitsa
15%
Draws
85%
Chernolomets
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chernolomets

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chernolomets come out ahead of Svetkavitsa on wins alone.
  • Chernolomets are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).
  • History favors Chernolomets here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Svetkavitsa Clean Sheet 10%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Svetkavitsa Chernolomets
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 0 17
Draws 1 4
Losses 29 8
Goals Scored 0.2 2.41
Goals Conceded 3.67 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 29, 2026 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Chernolomets
0:3
Aug 23, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Svetkavitsa
6:1
May 10, 2025 Third League - North-East
Svetkavitsa vs Chernolomets
0:1
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Svetkavitsa
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Svetkavitsa
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Svetkavitsa 10 / 100
Chernolomets 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Svetkavitsa Chernolomets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Svetkavitsa's goal record stands at 13% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Chernolomets let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Svetkavitsa VS Chernolomets
0 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Svetkavitsa

(Home)
30 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Olympic Varna
23 May
Dorostol
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 0
Svetkavitsa
09 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Volov Shumen
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Chernolomets

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1
Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0
Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
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